Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.95/0.27 0.99/0.35 0.99/0.17 0.98/0.15 0.85/0.52 0.97/0.05 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 0.92/0.06 1.00/0.00 ----/0.25 CanESM5 r10i1p1f1 0.43/0.92 0.56/2.07 0.85/0.66 0.67/0.52 0.34/1.66 0.75/0.11 0.93/0.65 0.86/0.73 0.97/0.48 0.54/0.16 0.76/0.22 0.77/1.01 CanESM5 r10i1p2f1 0.47/0.81 0.81/1.28 0.65/0.83 0.62/0.50 0.31/1.16 0.71/0.12 0.88/0.82 0.88/0.67 0.97/0.45 0.52/0.17 0.76/0.22 0.75/0.98 CanESM5 r11i1p1f1 0.50/0.83 0.69/1.60 0.73/0.76 0.62/0.56 0.11/2.02 0.73/0.12 0.92/0.65 0.94/0.54 0.98/0.44 0.55/0.16 0.76/0.21 0.77/1.05 CanESM5 r11i1p2f1 0.53/0.79 0.74/1.46 0.76/0.74 0.42/0.74 0.06/1.43 0.67/0.13 0.89/0.80 0.91/0.61 0.97/0.35 0.51/0.17 0.75/0.22 0.74/1.03 CanESM5 r12i1p1f1 0.59/0.79 0.69/1.59 0.79/0.63 0.67/0.50 0.27/1.21 0.70/0.12 0.91/0.76 0.89/0.84 0.95/0.50 0.57/0.15 0.77/0.21 0.76/0.93 CanESM5 r12i1p2f1 0.56/0.69 0.71/1.53 0.67/0.84 0.47/0.59 0.19/2.54 0.69/0.12 0.82/0.90 0.90/0.73 0.97/0.46 0.54/0.17 0.75/0.23 0.73/1.16 CanESM5 r13i1p1f1 0.44/0.97 0.64/1.83 0.73/0.74 0.57/0.62 0.33/1.08 0.74/0.11 0.91/0.71 0.94/0.53 0.96/0.56 0.54/0.16 0.76/0.22 0.76/1.00 CanESM5 r13i1p2f1 0.49/0.83 0.53/1.87 0.77/0.68 0.63/0.51 0.01/1.64 0.71/0.12 0.88/0.79 0.85/0.84 0.96/0.45 0.54/0.16 0.75/0.22 0.72/1.01 CanESM5 r14i1p1f1 0.53/0.85 0.64/1.69 0.82/0.64 0.67/0.53 0.33/1.19 0.73/0.11 0.92/0.65 0.91/0.58 0.97/0.54 0.56/0.15 0.75/0.22 0.78/0.92 CanESM5 r14i1p2f1 0.61/0.68 0.74/1.53 0.87/0.62 0.63/0.55 0.38/1.02 0.75/0.11 0.87/0.79 0.87/0.79 0.95/0.49 0.52/0.16 0.76/0.22 0.77/0.90 CanESM5 r15i1p1f1 0.52/0.87 0.69/1.60 0.79/0.71 0.56/0.69 0.13/1.72 0.78/0.10 0.90/0.71 0.91/0.79 0.96/0.63 0.60/0.14 0.76/0.22 0.76/1.06 CanESM5 r15i1p2f1 0.49/0.86 0.69/1.57 0.84/0.62 0.60/0.55 0.28/1.29 0.71/0.12 0.93/0.60 0.85/0.84 0.96/0.47 0.51/0.18 0.75/0.22 0.76/0.95 CanESM5 r1i1p1f1 0.49/0.78 0.63/1.69 0.62/0.82 0.61/0.50 -0.01/1.45 0.70/0.12 0.81/0.94 0.80/0.77 0.97/0.39 0.55/0.15 0.76/0.22 0.70/1.03 CanESM5 r1i1p2f1 0.61/0.67 0.73/1.49 0.80/0.71 0.64/0.49 0.09/1.64 0.81/0.10 0.73/1.13 0.93/0.54 0.95/0.56 0.57/0.16 0.75/0.22 0.75/0.98 CanESM5 r2i1p1f1 0.49/0.77 0.44/2.01 0.80/0.67 0.60/0.55 -0.09/2.41 0.72/0.12 0.86/0.80 0.88/0.74 0.97/0.43 0.52/0.15 0.76/0.22 0.72/1.09 CanESM5 r2i1p2f1 0.51/0.76 0.75/1.51 0.80/0.66 0.62/0.48 0.31/1.39 0.75/0.11 0.93/0.59 0.91/0.78 0.97/0.59 0.54/0.17 0.76/0.22 0.78/0.94 CanESM5 r3i1p1f1 0.54/0.71 0.62/1.71 0.80/0.63 0.49/0.61 0.06/1.39 0.65/0.13 0.90/0.73 0.90/0.80 0.96/0.41 0.53/0.15 0.75/0.22 0.73/0.97 CanESM5 r3i1p2f1 0.59/0.72 0.72/1.52 0.77/0.69 0.49/0.67 0.23/1.29 0.59/0.14 0.90/0.94 0.90/0.91 0.97/0.58 0.55/0.17 0.76/0.22 0.75/1.03 CanESM5 r4i1p1f1 0.50/0.89 0.63/1.78 0.74/0.70 0.43/0.68 0.35/1.04 0.74/0.11 0.94/0.62 0.85/0.78 0.94/0.58 0.52/0.17 0.77/0.21 0.73/0.99 CanESM5 r4i1p2f1 0.48/0.85 0.62/1.85 0.85/0.65 0.65/0.52 0.03/1.61 0.74/0.11 0.86/0.82 0.88/0.80 0.96/0.58 0.48/0.18 0.75/0.22 0.74/1.01 CanESM5 r5i1p1f1 0.42/0.84 0.44/2.01 0.86/0.64 0.62/0.59 0.25/1.22 0.57/0.14 0.91/0.70 0.85/0.80 0.96/0.61 0.50/0.16 0.75/0.22 0.72/0.99 CanESM5 r5i1p2f1 0.47/0.90 0.65/1.76 0.64/0.82 0.53/0.60 0.41/1.28 0.72/0.12 0.88/0.83 0.93/0.52 0.96/0.55 0.53/0.16 0.75/0.22 0.74/1.04 CanESM5 r6i1p1f1 0.38/0.88 0.11/2.42 0.83/0.65 0.66/0.57 0.33/1.90 0.68/0.12 0.86/0.84 0.86/0.78 0.97/0.52 0.50/0.15 0.76/0.22 0.71/1.07 CanESM5 r6i1p2f1 0.54/0.83 0.76/1.43 0.81/0.73 0.43/0.73 0.31/1.50 0.79/0.10 0.88/0.75 0.89/0.58 0.97/0.47 0.53/0.18 0.76/0.22 0.76/1.03 CanESM5 r7i1p1f1 0.44/0.89 0.50/1.98 0.75/0.76 0.56/0.62 0.33/1.13 0.60/0.13 0.47/1.51 0.89/0.80 0.96/0.45 0.46/0.18 0.75/0.22 0.67/1.08 CanESM5 r7i1p2f1 0.52/0.78 0.76/1.43 0.74/0.72 0.78/0.59 0.29/1.23 0.61/0.13 0.80/0.95 0.93/0.58 0.95/0.59 0.48/0.16 0.76/0.22 0.75/0.99 CanESM5 r8i1p1f1 0.46/0.80 0.67/1.63 0.81/0.65 0.60/0.53 -0.01/1.61 0.69/0.13 0.84/0.86 0.84/0.84 0.96/0.42 0.57/0.14 0.75/0.22 0.72/0.99 CanESM5 r8i1p2f1 0.56/0.81 0.79/1.35 0.77/0.72 0.61/0.59 0.33/1.42 0.74/0.12 0.94/0.69 0.85/0.95 0.95/0.64 0.51/0.17 0.76/0.22 0.77/1.02 CanESM5 r9i1p1f1 0.47/0.82 0.68/1.77 0.77/0.76 0.70/0.57 0.07/1.94 0.78/0.10 0.91/0.73 0.93/0.77 0.97/0.57 0.54/0.16 0.75/0.22 0.77/1.08 CanESM5 r9i1p2f1 0.48/0.94 0.69/1.60 0.77/0.73 0.58/0.54 -0.01/1.61 0.77/0.11 0.91/0.69 0.90/0.62 0.96/0.67 0.51/0.17 0.76/0.22 0.75/1.02 CESM2-SF AAER #1 0.66/0.80 0.71/1.64 0.62/0.64 0.62/0.88 0.44/1.07 0.83/0.11 0.94/0.69 0.91/0.70 0.97/0.41 0.74/0.15 0.84/0.19 0.81/0.98 CESM2-SF AAER #2 0.71/0.65 0.67/1.69 0.80/0.65 0.66/0.41 0.22/1.35 0.79/0.11 0.94/0.66 0.91/0.82 0.95/0.43 0.75/0.12 0.85/0.18 0.81/0.88 CESM2-SF AAER #3 0.74/0.69 0.86/1.32 0.77/0.70 0.67/0.52 0.33/1.02 0.86/0.09 0.93/0.82 0.96/0.57 0.97/0.58 0.78/0.12 0.85/0.18 0.85/0.87 CESM2-SF AAER #4 0.57/0.75 0.83/1.25 0.69/0.59 0.63/0.47 0.52/1.28 0.81/0.10 0.94/0.71 0.94/0.59 0.96/0.45 0.71/0.11 0.84/0.18 0.82/0.84 CESM2-SF AAER #5 0.61/0.72 0.81/1.29 0.67/0.66 0.71/0.40 0.52/1.10 0.82/0.10 0.93/0.66 0.95/0.65 0.95/0.47 0.73/0.13 0.85/0.18 0.82/0.84 CESM2-SF AAER #6 0.74/0.75 0.85/1.42 0.84/0.68 0.72/0.53 0.48/0.83 0.83/0.11 0.94/0.56 0.95/0.50 0.96/0.47 0.75/0.16 0.84/0.19 0.85/0.86 CESM2-SF AAER #7 0.73/0.57 0.70/1.62 0.66/0.72 0.63/0.48 0.38/1.25 0.84/0.10 0.95/0.50 0.96/0.46 0.96/0.44 0.73/0.14 0.84/0.19 0.82/0.87 CESM2-SF AAER #8 0.71/0.61 0.72/1.67 0.79/0.56 0.69/0.64 0.41/0.98 0.84/0.11 0.92/0.89 0.92/0.73 0.95/0.58 0.76/0.16 0.84/0.19 0.82/0.89 CESM2-SF AAER #9 0.71/0.66 0.80/1.54 0.69/0.74 0.68/0.67 0.55/0.97 0.81/0.11 0.87/1.07 0.96/0.81 0.96/0.53 0.74/0.14 0.84/0.19 0.82/0.98 CESM2-SF AAER #10 0.69/0.83 0.79/1.69 0.71/0.72 0.69/0.72 0.43/2.36 0.84/0.14 0.86/0.95 0.93/0.67 0.98/0.48 0.76/0.17 0.84/0.20 0.82/1.16 CESM2-SF AAER #11 0.61/0.85 0.48/2.22 0.67/0.63 0.58/0.65 0.27/1.12 0.76/0.11 0.92/0.67 0.93/0.63 0.97/0.47 0.69/0.12 0.84/0.19 0.77/0.95 CESM2-SF AAER #12 0.70/0.85 0.76/1.73 0.80/0.78 0.69/0.68 0.37/1.05 0.82/0.11 0.89/0.90 0.95/0.58 0.97/0.63 0.73/0.16 0.83/0.20 0.82/1.02 CESM2-SF AAER #13 0.65/0.81 0.69/1.97 0.80/0.75 0.72/0.59 0.39/1.30 0.84/0.10 0.88/1.06 0.93/0.80 0.95/0.63 0.75/0.15 0.84/0.20 0.81/1.04 CESM2-SF AAER #14 0.71/0.66 0.74/1.57 0.77/0.59 0.67/0.79 0.41/1.98 0.83/0.11 0.94/0.63 0.93/0.58 0.95/0.44 0.74/0.15 0.85/0.19 0.82/1.01 CESM2-SF AAER #15 0.70/0.75 0.69/1.83 0.76/0.74 0.63/0.78 0.38/1.03 0.80/0.10 0.91/0.84 0.95/0.83 0.95/0.49 0.72/0.14 0.83/0.19 0.81/1.02 CNRM-CM6-1 r10i1p1f2 0.55/0.67 0.40/2.04 0.79/0.37 0.80/0.44 0.45/0.94 0.24/0.18 0.88/0.82 0.47/1.81 0.95/0.53 0.55/0.14 0.71/0.23 0.68/0.90 CNRM-CM6-1 r1i1p1f2 0.48/0.86 0.50/2.05 0.67/0.48 0.71/0.37 0.40/1.67 0.44/0.16 0.84/0.86 0.28/1.44 0.96/0.76 0.61/0.13 0.72/0.23 0.66/0.99 CNRM-CM6-1 r2i1p1f2 0.57/0.80 0.61/1.79 0.83/0.39 0.81/0.44 0.30/1.29 0.56/0.15 0.91/0.68 0.70/0.94 0.94/0.68 0.63/0.14 0.72/0.23 0.74/0.87 CNRM-CM6-1 r3i1p1f2 0.58/0.79 0.76/1.50 0.83/0.45 0.82/0.32 0.45/1.02 0.67/0.13 0.91/0.93 0.63/1.44 0.96/0.78 0.66/0.13 0.73/0.22 0.77/0.86 CNRM-CM6-1 r4i1p1f2 0.64/0.64 0.61/1.73 0.83/0.31 0.76/0.43 0.37/0.96 0.41/0.16 0.91/0.71 0.66/1.39 0.96/0.68 0.57/0.15 0.73/0.22 0.74/0.82 CNRM-CM6-1 r5i1p1f2 0.60/0.72 0.51/1.96 0.85/0.39 0.77/0.43 0.38/1.42 0.62/0.13 0.83/0.88 0.28/1.39 0.94/0.71 0.61/0.13 0.73/0.22 0.70/0.91 CNRM-CM6-1 r6i1p1f2 0.54/0.70 0.53/1.84 0.77/0.39 0.74/0.47 0.42/1.10 0.61/0.13 0.83/0.98 0.72/1.10 0.96/0.73 0.57/0.14 0.72/0.23 0.72/0.87 CNRM-CM6-1 r7i1p1f2 0.54/0.75 0.71/1.54 0.77/0.38 0.73/0.43 0.40/1.26 0.64/0.13 0.87/0.78 0.75/1.06 0.94/0.75 0.61/0.13 0.71/0.23 0.73/0.85 CNRM-CM6-1 r8i1p1f2 0.55/0.87 0.40/2.20 0.74/0.39 0.74/0.37 0.24/1.24 0.71/0.12 0.80/1.03 0.52/1.36 0.95/0.67 0.60/0.13 0.72/0.22 0.69/0.90 CNRM-CM6-1 r9i1p1f2 0.72/0.65 0.68/1.66 0.84/0.36 0.83/0.36 0.21/1.25 0.36/0.17 0.76/1.09 0.85/0.69 0.96/0.67 0.63/0.14 0.73/0.22 0.75/0.82 GISS-E2-1-G r1i1p1f1 0.55/1.02 0.59/1.99 0.79/0.78 0.58/0.75 0.05/1.98 0.74/0.13 0.90/0.77 0.84/1.32 0.95/0.47 0.69/0.17 0.73/0.25 0.73/1.22 GISS-E2-1-G r1i1p1f2 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- GISS-E2-1-G r1i1p3f1 0.66/0.91 0.77/1.78 0.79/0.81 0.65/0.94 0.43/1.19 0.71/0.18 0.88/0.81 0.90/0.76 0.93/0.61 0.71/0.21 0.74/0.27 0.78/1.19 GISS-E2-1-G r2i1p1f1 0.51/1.17 0.65/2.03 0.83/0.66 0.65/0.80 -0.11/2.61 0.69/0.12 0.83/0.97 0.66/1.66 0.96/0.52 0.69/0.18 0.74/0.24 0.71/1.31 GISS-E2-1-G r2i1p1f2 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- GISS-E2-1-G r2i1p3f1 0.56/0.94 0.70/1.78 0.76/0.87 0.46/0.78 -0.21/2.60 0.70/0.15 0.85/0.95 0.95/0.55 0.96/0.52 0.72/0.19 0.75/0.26 0.74/1.29 GISS-E2-1-G r3i1p1f1 0.56/0.93 0.66/1.76 0.83/0.65 0.51/0.79 -0.08/1.88 0.77/0.14 0.83/0.88 0.86/0.92 0.97/0.47 0.69/0.17 0.75/0.24 0.74/1.13 GISS-E2-1-G r3i1p1f2 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- GISS-E2-1-G r3i1p3f1 0.53/1.19 0.66/2.06 0.74/1.01 0.47/1.04 -0.04/2.00 0.69/0.17 0.91/0.69 0.69/1.44 0.94/0.49 0.69/0.22 0.72/0.27 0.70/1.45 GISS-E2-1-G r4i1p1f1 0.53/1.11 0.58/2.28 0.73/0.92 0.67/0.72 -0.15/2.70 0.71/0.13 0.89/0.78 0.80/1.17 0.97/0.60 0.70/0.19 0.73/0.26 0.73/1.37 GISS-E2-1-G r4i1p1f2 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- GISS-E2-1-G r4i1p3f1 0.56/1.14 0.68/2.19 0.82/0.83 0.65/0.89 0.44/1.06 0.75/0.14 0.87/0.77 0.83/1.09 0.95/0.74 0.69/0.20 0.72/0.29 0.76/1.22 GISS-E2-1-G r5i1p1f1 0.53/1.08 0.67/1.82 0.79/0.80 0.58/0.80 0.44/1.15 0.61/0.19 0.83/0.92 0.87/0.81 0.96/0.60 0.70/0.17 0.75/0.24 0.75/1.17 GISS-E2-1-G r5i1p1f2 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- GISS-E2-1-G r5i1p3f1 0.56/1.02 0.58/2.27 0.74/0.86 0.48/0.93 0.12/2.22 0.76/0.11 0.40/1.60 0.56/1.64 0.95/0.43 0.69/0.19 0.73/0.27 0.66/1.40 IPSL-CM6A-LR r10i1p1f1 0.53/0.72 0.28/2.18 0.92/0.40 0.87/0.47 -0.01/1.82 0.46/0.16 0.91/0.77 0.55/1.49 0.96/0.76 0.64/0.14 0.68/0.27 0.72/1.00 IPSL-CM6A-LR r1i1p1f1 0.52/0.85 0.42/2.33 0.86/0.58 0.68/0.64 0.10/1.40 0.68/0.13 0.92/0.76 0.77/1.04 0.97/0.57 0.65/0.16 0.67/0.28 0.74/1.04 IPSL-CM6A-LR r2i1p1f1 0.52/0.70 0.40/2.10 0.78/0.66 0.63/0.70 0.16/1.31 0.05/0.20 0.92/0.64 0.69/1.19 0.97/0.51 0.66/0.16 0.66/0.28 0.68/1.09 IPSL-CM6A-LR r3i1p1f1 0.56/0.77 0.42/2.12 0.81/0.61 0.76/0.59 0.46/0.85 0.71/0.12 0.92/0.69 0.88/0.69 0.95/0.79 0.61/0.17 0.67/0.27 0.75/0.94 IPSL-CM6A-LR r4i1p1f1 0.54/0.87 0.72/1.59 0.81/0.74 0.62/0.60 0.40/1.03 0.76/0.12 0.94/0.65 0.71/1.42 0.95/0.77 0.65/0.18 0.67/0.28 0.76/1.05 IPSL-CM6A-LR r5i1p1f1 0.43/0.93 0.55/2.21 0.71/0.72 0.73/0.57 0.40/1.12 0.70/0.12 0.93/0.65 0.73/1.43 0.95/0.73 0.57/0.16 0.66/0.27 0.72/1.08 IPSL-CM6A-LR r6i1p1f1 0.59/0.71 0.63/1.77 0.86/0.54 0.66/0.93 0.42/1.45 0.65/0.13 0.92/0.90 0.72/1.51 0.97/0.70 0.66/0.19 0.67/0.28 0.76/1.12 IPSL-CM6A-LR r7i1p1f1 0.61/0.75 0.59/1.83 0.78/0.67 0.59/0.66 0.44/0.93 0.79/0.11 0.94/0.53 0.79/0.87 0.95/0.69 0.67/0.16 0.67/0.27 0.76/0.97 IPSL-CM6A-LR r8i1p1f1 0.53/0.68 0.60/1.79 0.87/0.50 0.83/0.41 0.40/1.37 0.72/0.12 0.89/0.81 0.80/0.94 0.97/0.45 0.65/0.17 0.67/0.28 0.77/0.89 IPSL-CM6A-LR r9i1p1f1 0.57/0.76 0.46/2.00 0.89/0.57 0.89/0.38 0.29/1.10 0.66/0.13 0.91/1.07 0.80/1.13 0.97/0.88 0.62/0.19 0.67/0.28 0.77/0.97 MIROC6 r10i1p1f1 0.67/0.81 0.86/1.17 0.78/0.62 0.76/0.60 0.22/1.32 0.84/0.10 0.82/0.92 0.91/0.58 0.98/0.31 0.73/0.13 0.80/0.20 0.81/0.91 MIROC6 r1i1p1f1 0.70/0.64 0.88/1.11 0.72/0.65 0.64/0.42 0.42/0.95 0.84/0.09 0.74/1.04 0.85/0.71 0.98/0.29 0.68/0.12 0.80/0.20 0.80/0.82 MIROC6 r2i1p1f1 0.52/0.97 0.75/1.52 0.79/0.61 0.65/0.52 0.43/1.21 0.81/0.10 0.89/0.71 0.85/0.74 0.97/0.35 0.67/0.14 0.79/0.20 0.79/0.91 MIROC6 r3i1p1f1 0.66/0.90 0.82/1.78 0.75/0.78 0.48/0.66 0.23/1.42 0.85/0.12 0.89/0.73 0.76/1.01 0.97/0.49 0.76/0.15 0.80/0.20 0.78/1.07 MIROC6 r4i1p1f1 0.65/0.74 0.73/1.52 0.76/0.60 0.70/0.50 0.46/1.22 0.88/0.09 0.86/0.81 0.89/0.62 0.95/0.47 0.73/0.12 0.79/0.20 0.80/0.87 MIROC6 r5i1p1f1 0.65/0.79 0.78/1.53 0.77/0.75 0.73/0.62 0.41/1.14 0.85/0.12 0.85/0.85 0.89/0.63 0.95/0.46 0.74/0.14 0.80/0.20 0.80/0.97 MIROC6 r6i1p1f1 0.72/0.75 0.88/1.24 0.87/0.64 0.72/0.54 0.16/1.24 0.84/0.09 0.87/0.83 0.89/0.66 0.98/0.33 0.70/0.13 0.79/0.20 0.82/0.88 MIROC6 r7i1p1f1 0.67/0.72 0.72/1.54 0.81/0.62 0.72/0.53 0.32/2.24 0.86/0.08 0.87/0.77 0.84/0.76 0.98/0.32 0.73/0.12 0.79/0.20 0.80/0.98 MIROC6 r8i1p1f1 0.70/0.74 0.80/1.61 0.77/0.61 0.57/0.48 0.46/0.98 0.83/0.10 0.87/0.76 0.84/0.73 0.97/0.46 0.70/0.13 0.80/0.20 0.80/0.86 MIROC6 r9i1p1f1 0.70/0.79 0.85/1.54 0.78/0.59 0.74/0.90 0.34/2.17 0.88/0.11 0.91/0.65 0.92/0.58 0.96/0.39 0.74/0.15 0.80/0.20 0.83/1.07