Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.43/0.69 0.44/1.43 0.65/0.63 0.43/0.50 -0.01/1.08 0.60/0.10 0.80/0.62 0.85/0.54 0.95/0.41 0.48/0.15 0.75/0.21 0.71/0.93 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.51/0.82 0.66/1.69 0.78/0.71 0.60/0.58 0.20/1.50 0.72/0.12 0.88/0.80 0.89/0.73 0.96/0.51 0.53/0.16 0.76/0.22 0.75/1.01 CanESM5 (90%) 0.59/0.90 0.76/2.01 0.85/0.82 0.67/0.68 0.34/1.94 0.78/0.13 0.93/0.94 0.93/0.84 0.97/0.61 0.57/0.18 0.76/0.22 0.77/1.08 CESM2 (10%) 0.61/0.61 0.67/1.29 0.66/0.59 0.62/0.41 0.27/0.97 0.79/0.10 0.87/0.56 0.91/0.50 0.95/0.43 0.71/0.12 0.83/0.18 0.81/0.84 CESM2 (Avg) 0.69/0.73 0.75/1.63 0.74/0.68 0.67/0.61 0.41/1.25 0.82/0.11 0.92/0.78 0.94/0.66 0.96/0.50 0.74/0.14 0.84/0.19 0.82/0.95 CESM2 (90%) 0.74/0.85 0.85/1.97 0.80/0.75 0.72/0.79 0.52/1.98 0.84/0.11 0.94/1.06 0.96/0.82 0.97/0.63 0.76/0.16 0.85/0.20 0.85/1.04 CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.48/0.64 0.40/1.50 0.67/0.31 0.71/0.32 0.21/0.94 0.24/0.12 0.76/0.68 0.28/0.69 0.94/0.53 0.55/0.13 0.71/0.22 0.66/0.82 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.58/0.75 0.58/1.83 0.80/0.39 0.77/0.41 0.37/1.22 0.54/0.15 0.86/0.88 0.62/1.26 0.95/0.69 0.61/0.14 0.72/0.23 0.72/0.88 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.64/0.86 0.71/2.05 0.84/0.45 0.82/0.44 0.45/1.42 0.67/0.17 0.91/1.03 0.75/1.44 0.96/0.76 0.63/0.14 0.73/0.23 0.75/0.91 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.51/0.91 0.58/1.76 0.73/0.65 0.46/0.72 -0.21/1.06 0.61/0.11 0.40/0.69 0.56/0.55 0.93/0.43 0.69/0.17 0.72/0.24 0.66/1.13 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.56/1.05 0.66/2.00 0.78/0.82 0.57/0.84 0.10/1.94 0.72/0.15 0.84/0.91 0.82/1.14 0.96/0.55 0.70/0.19 0.74/0.26 0.73/1.28 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.56/1.17 0.70/2.27 0.83/0.92 0.65/0.94 0.44/2.61 0.76/0.18 0.90/0.97 0.90/1.64 0.97/0.61 0.71/0.21 0.75/0.27 0.76/1.40 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.43/0.68 0.28/1.59 0.71/0.40 0.59/0.38 -0.01/0.85 0.05/0.11 0.89/0.53 0.55/0.69 0.95/0.45 0.57/0.14 0.66/0.27 0.68/0.89 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.54/0.77 0.52/1.99 0.84/0.60 0.75/0.60 0.31/1.24 0.64/0.13 0.92/0.75 0.75/1.17 0.96/0.69 0.64/0.17 0.67/0.28 0.74/1.02 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.59/0.87 0.63/2.21 0.89/0.72 0.87/0.70 0.44/1.45 0.76/0.16 0.94/0.90 0.80/1.49 0.97/0.79 0.66/0.19 0.67/0.28 0.77/1.09 MIROC6 (10%) 0.52/0.64 0.72/1.11 0.72/0.59 0.48/0.42 0.16/0.95 0.81/0.08 0.74/0.65 0.76/0.58 0.95/0.29 0.67/0.12 0.79/0.20 0.78/0.82 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.67/0.78 0.81/1.46 0.78/0.65 0.68/0.58 0.35/1.39 0.85/0.10 0.86/0.81 0.87/0.70 0.97/0.39 0.72/0.13 0.80/0.20 0.80/0.93 MIROC6 (90%) 0.70/0.90 0.88/1.61 0.81/0.75 0.74/0.66 0.46/2.17 0.88/0.12 0.89/0.92 0.91/0.76 0.98/0.47 0.74/0.15 0.80/0.20 0.82/1.07