Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.34/0.76 0.34/1.53 0.60/0.59 0.28/0.54 -0.12/1.10 0.63/0.11 0.66/0.75 0.77/0.62 0.95/0.41 0.48/0.15 0.74/0.22 0.67/1.01 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.44/0.89 0.62/1.94 0.74/0.71 0.50/0.68 0.18/1.68 0.70/0.12 0.84/0.93 0.85/0.86 0.96/0.55 0.54/0.16 0.75/0.22 0.71/1.09 CanESM5 (90%) 0.54/1.01 0.77/2.29 0.82/0.79 0.60/0.79 0.38/2.17 0.76/0.13 0.90/1.07 0.90/1.07 0.97/0.66 0.57/0.18 0.76/0.23 0.75/1.17 CESM2 (10%) 0.54/0.63 0.58/1.41 0.59/0.63 0.60/0.39 0.27/0.95 0.78/0.10 0.86/0.72 0.89/0.50 0.94/0.41 0.70/0.12 0.82/0.19 0.77/0.87 CESM2 (Avg) 0.63/0.80 0.72/1.82 0.69/0.72 0.65/0.58 0.41/1.36 0.80/0.12 0.90/0.84 0.92/0.74 0.96/0.53 0.73/0.15 0.83/0.20 0.79/1.00 CESM2 (90%) 0.71/0.97 0.83/2.12 0.77/0.80 0.71/0.79 0.56/1.87 0.83/0.13 0.92/1.04 0.94/0.94 0.97/0.64 0.75/0.17 0.83/0.21 0.81/1.08 CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.43/0.70 0.29/1.68 0.67/0.33 0.57/0.41 0.20/0.92 -0.23/0.12 0.71/0.83 0.15/0.76 0.91/0.61 0.57/0.13 0.70/0.23 0.63/0.86 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.53/0.80 0.51/2.17 0.77/0.40 0.71/0.49 0.37/1.53 0.47/0.15 0.81/1.02 0.55/1.36 0.94/0.82 0.62/0.14 0.71/0.23 0.67/0.98 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.64/0.89 0.65/2.48 0.81/0.46 0.76/0.58 0.48/2.70 0.64/0.17 0.86/1.21 0.70/1.54 0.95/0.94 0.65/0.14 0.72/0.23 0.72/1.10 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.45/1.01 0.50/1.73 0.73/0.68 0.37/0.65 -0.16/1.42 0.54/0.12 0.68/0.75 0.46/0.75 0.95/0.42 0.70/0.17 0.72/0.24 0.67/1.15 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.51/1.13 0.63/2.18 0.77/0.83 0.54/0.81 0.12/2.10 0.67/0.15 0.82/0.98 0.76/1.26 0.96/0.55 0.72/0.19 0.73/0.26 0.71/1.31 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.57/1.28 0.71/2.60 0.81/1.00 0.69/0.98 0.41/3.12 0.77/0.18 0.90/1.18 0.89/1.84 0.98/0.67 0.73/0.22 0.75/0.28 0.76/1.46 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.42/0.72 0.28/2.07 0.63/0.41 0.47/0.47 -0.14/0.83 -0.35/0.11 0.85/0.65 0.58/0.88 0.92/0.53 0.61/0.15 0.65/0.27 0.63/0.94 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.50/0.86 0.50/2.26 0.81/0.62 0.68/0.68 0.25/1.44 0.56/0.15 0.90/0.86 0.71/1.29 0.94/0.78 0.65/0.17 0.66/0.28 0.70/1.11 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.58/1.11 0.61/2.44 0.89/0.74 0.79/0.84 0.46/1.85 0.69/0.20 0.92/1.01 0.78/1.58 0.95/0.92 0.68/0.19 0.67/0.28 0.74/1.21 MIROC6 (10%) 0.50/0.66 0.69/1.38 0.63/0.56 0.59/0.38 0.12/1.00 0.76/0.10 0.66/0.74 0.72/0.64 0.94/0.34 0.66/0.12 0.78/0.20 0.75/0.83 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.60/0.86 0.79/1.63 0.75/0.67 0.67/0.57 0.33/1.50 0.81/0.11 0.83/0.90 0.86/0.75 0.96/0.47 0.71/0.14 0.78/0.21 0.77/0.98 MIROC6 (90%) 0.64/1.02 0.85/1.80 0.79/0.75 0.70/0.75 0.42/2.02 0.84/0.12 0.88/1.06 0.89/0.81 0.97/0.59 0.74/0.15 0.78/0.21 0.79/1.09