Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.38/0.66 0.20/1.45 0.76/0.29 0.73/0.28 0.07/0.88 0.65/0.10 0.88/0.57 0.87/0.50 0.92/0.50 0.53/0.13 0.74/0.22 0.74/0.89 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.52/0.79 0.54/1.66 0.84/0.37 0.82/0.34 0.24/1.36 0.75/0.11 0.92/0.72 0.91/0.70 0.94/0.62 0.57/0.14 0.75/0.23 0.77/0.97 CanESM5 (90%) 0.64/0.88 0.71/1.98 0.89/0.46 0.86/0.43 0.40/1.99 0.79/0.12 0.95/0.92 0.95/0.93 0.95/0.76 0.60/0.14 0.76/0.24 0.80/1.05 CESM2 (10%) 0.48/0.68 0.64/1.43 0.63/0.55 0.68/0.56 0.03/0.80 0.79/0.10 0.83/0.83 0.83/0.63 0.89/0.48 0.66/0.13 0.81/0.20 0.75/1.14 CESM2 (Avg) 0.66/0.79 0.73/1.72 0.71/0.76 0.76/0.78 0.26/1.23 0.82/0.11 0.88/1.06 0.92/0.79 0.92/0.64 0.68/0.16 0.82/0.23 0.78/1.41 CESM2 (90%) 0.76/1.00 0.79/2.07 0.77/1.02 0.80/0.92 0.47/2.09 0.85/0.13 0.93/1.31 0.95/0.97 0.94/0.78 0.70/0.18 0.83/0.26 0.80/1.65 CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.45/0.69 0.28/1.17 0.67/0.33 0.72/0.30 0.01/0.77 -0.46/0.10 0.88/0.46 0.17/0.97 0.96/0.42 0.49/0.15 0.71/0.21 0.67/0.97 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.56/0.78 0.51/1.71 0.72/0.53 0.78/0.42 0.23/1.27 0.46/0.15 0.92/0.76 0.65/1.28 0.97/0.81 0.53/0.16 0.73/0.22 0.72/1.18 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.62/0.85 0.63/2.08 0.77/0.61 0.82/0.47 0.42/1.51 0.67/0.21 0.95/0.85 0.73/1.33 0.98/0.99 0.57/0.16 0.73/0.22 0.74/1.24 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.51/0.83 0.45/1.45 0.69/0.76 0.60/0.65 0.08/1.07 0.74/0.10 0.84/0.77 0.76/0.74 0.90/0.51 0.63/0.17 0.70/0.25 0.73/1.41 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.67/0.95 0.69/1.74 0.74/0.85 0.70/0.80 0.27/1.70 0.79/0.13 0.87/0.83 0.87/0.99 0.93/0.61 0.65/0.20 0.72/0.26 0.76/1.57 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.73/0.99 0.78/1.97 0.78/0.91 0.78/0.91 0.37/2.03 0.81/0.16 0.89/0.90 0.91/1.22 0.94/0.66 0.67/0.21 0.73/0.27 0.77/1.65 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.35/0.73 0.25/1.51 0.84/0.33 0.79/0.33 0.07/0.92 0.59/0.10 0.83/0.64 0.77/0.67 0.96/0.55 0.46/0.17 0.63/0.28 0.76/1.03 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.47/0.86 0.50/1.93 0.90/0.47 0.87/0.49 0.27/1.21 0.72/0.12 0.90/0.85 0.87/0.94 0.98/0.93 0.54/0.19 0.65/0.29 0.78/1.17 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.56/0.95 0.60/2.15 0.91/0.57 0.88/0.55 0.42/1.55 0.79/0.13 0.93/1.02 0.91/1.17 0.98/1.18 0.58/0.20 0.66/0.30 0.79/1.27 MIROC6 (10%) 0.45/0.77 0.57/1.49 0.66/0.54 0.60/0.55 -0.03/1.01 0.79/0.11 0.82/0.60 0.76/0.60 0.94/0.34 0.63/0.15 0.79/0.19 0.74/1.15 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.57/0.93 0.70/1.80 0.72/0.74 0.71/0.82 0.16/1.48 0.81/0.13 0.89/0.76 0.85/0.79 0.96/0.47 0.66/0.17 0.80/0.20 0.77/1.44 MIROC6 (90%) 0.65/1.07 0.80/2.24 0.77/0.91 0.77/1.06 0.31/2.03 0.83/0.16 0.94/0.91 0.91/1.00 0.98/0.61 0.68/0.20 0.80/0.21 0.79/1.74