Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.36/0.65 0.25/1.46 0.65/0.47 0.70/0.28 0.08/0.94 0.61/0.10 0.85/0.62 0.81/0.60 0.91/0.49 0.51/0.13 0.73/0.22 0.72/0.95 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.52/0.82 0.50/1.79 0.78/0.57 0.80/0.37 0.21/1.48 0.71/0.12 0.91/0.76 0.87/0.85 0.93/0.62 0.56/0.14 0.74/0.23 0.74/1.06 CanESM5 (90%) 0.63/1.02 0.62/2.14 0.86/0.68 0.85/0.51 0.37/2.10 0.78/0.13 0.94/0.91 0.92/1.15 0.94/0.72 0.62/0.14 0.75/0.24 0.77/1.19 CESM2 (10%) 0.51/0.76 0.55/1.56 0.79/0.51 0.69/0.56 0.05/0.89 0.77/0.09 0.85/0.89 0.86/0.70 0.88/0.52 0.66/0.13 0.81/0.21 0.76/1.16 CESM2 (Avg) 0.59/0.86 0.67/1.92 0.82/0.67 0.77/0.74 0.22/1.35 0.81/0.11 0.89/1.05 0.90/0.89 0.91/0.67 0.69/0.16 0.82/0.23 0.78/1.28 CESM2 (90%) 0.70/0.92 0.73/2.18 0.86/0.78 0.81/0.88 0.41/1.98 0.85/0.13 0.94/1.27 0.92/1.05 0.94/0.80 0.71/0.18 0.83/0.26 0.80/1.45 CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.43/0.74 0.22/1.34 0.75/0.39 0.72/0.27 0.05/1.04 -0.52/0.10 0.87/0.54 -0.19/0.69 0.95/0.45 0.47/0.15 0.69/0.22 0.64/0.98 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.49/0.86 0.48/1.76 0.79/0.49 0.78/0.45 0.21/1.46 0.45/0.15 0.93/0.76 0.58/1.39 0.97/0.71 0.52/0.16 0.72/0.22 0.71/1.12 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.55/0.94 0.61/2.01 0.83/0.61 0.82/0.52 0.27/1.51 0.71/0.22 0.95/0.83 0.77/1.94 0.97/0.96 0.56/0.16 0.73/0.22 0.75/1.20 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.55/0.80 0.55/1.45 0.59/0.83 0.61/0.63 0.03/1.16 0.72/0.10 0.80/0.70 0.71/0.90 0.88/0.54 0.63/0.17 0.69/0.25 0.71/1.35 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.60/1.02 0.63/1.87 0.66/0.95 0.72/0.81 0.22/1.97 0.79/0.13 0.88/0.81 0.82/1.13 0.91/0.65 0.65/0.20 0.72/0.27 0.73/1.55 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.63/1.10 0.69/2.18 0.73/1.05 0.77/0.93 0.34/2.39 0.82/0.16 0.90/0.94 0.86/1.25 0.93/0.69 0.67/0.22 0.72/0.28 0.74/1.66 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.34/0.81 0.27/1.66 0.80/0.42 0.80/0.37 0.10/0.87 0.47/0.10 0.87/0.61 0.69/0.71 0.95/0.53 0.45/0.17 0.62/0.28 0.72/1.05 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.46/0.90 0.41/2.14 0.86/0.56 0.86/0.51 0.29/1.32 0.68/0.13 0.91/0.83 0.84/1.04 0.97/0.85 0.53/0.18 0.64/0.30 0.75/1.18 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.54/1.01 0.49/2.44 0.91/0.66 0.89/0.61 0.48/1.73 0.76/0.15 0.94/0.91 0.89/1.37 0.98/1.10 0.58/0.19 0.65/0.31 0.77/1.26 MIROC6 (10%) 0.45/0.79 0.62/1.42 0.60/0.63 0.52/0.60 -0.00/1.05 0.78/0.11 0.81/0.58 0.81/0.59 0.93/0.37 0.63/0.14 0.78/0.20 0.74/1.17 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.55/0.98 0.72/1.81 0.74/0.79 0.68/0.87 0.17/1.63 0.80/0.14 0.89/0.80 0.87/0.74 0.95/0.48 0.66/0.17 0.79/0.20 0.76/1.40 MIROC6 (90%) 0.64/1.14 0.79/2.18 0.79/0.95 0.77/1.12 0.33/2.23 0.82/0.17 0.94/0.97 0.92/0.91 0.97/0.62 0.69/0.20 0.80/0.21 0.79/1.65