Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.51/0.61 0.60/1.22 0.80/0.41 0.68/0.35 0.16/0.79 0.71/0.09 0.91/0.52 0.79/0.67 0.94/0.48 0.61/0.12 0.75/0.23 0.77/0.83 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.58/0.69 0.70/1.41 0.85/0.47 0.77/0.41 0.37/0.99 0.77/0.10 0.93/0.66 0.86/0.86 0.95/0.55 0.65/0.12 0.75/0.24 0.79/0.89 CanESM5 (90%) 0.66/0.80 0.77/1.58 0.90/0.52 0.82/0.46 0.50/1.20 0.81/0.11 0.95/0.77 0.90/1.10 0.95/0.63 0.68/0.13 0.76/0.24 0.81/0.94 CESM2 (10%) 0.65/0.64 0.74/1.26 0.80/0.56 0.75/0.55 0.29/0.62 0.82/0.08 0.88/0.76 0.90/0.61 0.92/0.47 0.74/0.13 0.83/0.22 0.82/0.96 CESM2 (Avg) 0.69/0.73 0.81/1.43 0.83/0.66 0.79/0.66 0.50/0.78 0.85/0.10 0.91/0.91 0.93/0.78 0.93/0.56 0.76/0.14 0.84/0.23 0.83/1.04 CESM2 (90%) 0.73/0.82 0.88/1.65 0.85/0.81 0.81/0.81 0.66/1.00 0.87/0.11 0.94/1.02 0.95/0.90 0.95/0.62 0.78/0.15 0.84/0.24 0.84/1.13 CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.56/0.59 0.45/1.39 0.77/0.36 0.77/0.37 0.29/0.67 -0.15/0.11 0.87/0.51 0.51/0.61 0.96/0.38 0.56/0.14 0.73/0.22 0.75/0.83 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.62/0.66 0.62/1.57 0.81/0.47 0.80/0.45 0.49/0.88 0.62/0.13 0.94/0.66 0.74/1.08 0.98/0.58 0.61/0.14 0.74/0.22 0.78/0.92 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.65/0.69 0.70/1.75 0.83/0.54 0.82/0.54 0.57/1.12 0.73/0.13 0.95/0.71 0.85/1.29 0.98/0.72 0.64/0.14 0.74/0.22 0.79/1.00 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.56/0.80 0.55/1.40 0.75/0.63 0.51/0.71 0.20/0.90 0.77/0.10 0.79/0.66 0.72/0.76 0.91/0.49 0.70/0.16 0.71/0.26 0.73/1.20 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.61/0.99 0.70/1.76 0.78/0.78 0.63/0.78 0.39/1.14 0.80/0.12 0.89/0.82 0.81/1.15 0.93/0.58 0.71/0.18 0.73/0.27 0.76/1.28 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.64/1.07 0.77/1.88 0.80/0.89 0.68/0.83 0.48/1.31 0.82/0.13 0.92/0.96 0.88/1.32 0.94/0.65 0.72/0.19 0.74/0.28 0.77/1.36 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.54/0.59 0.48/1.39 0.91/0.32 0.76/0.43 0.23/0.62 0.59/0.10 0.87/0.58 0.72/0.82 0.97/0.44 0.56/0.16 0.65/0.29 0.77/0.85 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.61/0.67 0.61/1.67 0.93/0.38 0.82/0.53 0.50/0.84 0.73/0.11 0.92/0.82 0.81/1.11 0.98/0.62 0.63/0.17 0.66/0.30 0.80/0.93 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.67/0.74 0.68/1.77 0.94/0.42 0.87/0.68 0.64/0.99 0.77/0.12 0.95/0.90 0.84/1.35 0.99/0.82 0.66/0.18 0.66/0.31 0.82/0.98 MIROC6 (10%) 0.64/0.73 0.80/1.18 0.78/0.64 0.71/0.59 0.25/0.72 0.83/0.11 0.84/0.62 0.88/0.49 0.97/0.27 0.70/0.14 0.80/0.20 0.82/0.99 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.68/0.83 0.85/1.38 0.82/0.73 0.76/0.74 0.43/0.98 0.85/0.13 0.91/0.76 0.92/0.60 0.98/0.34 0.72/0.16 0.81/0.20 0.84/1.11 MIROC6 (90%) 0.72/0.93 0.88/1.54 0.84/0.82 0.80/0.97 0.54/1.25 0.86/0.15 0.94/0.93 0.94/0.71 0.98/0.39 0.74/0.18 0.81/0.21 0.85/1.25