Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.30/0.74 0.43/1.52 0.71/0.45 0.73/0.34 0.05/1.06 0.63/0.11 0.83/0.66 0.65/0.75 0.93/0.43 0.57/0.12 0.74/0.23 0.71/0.89 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.41/0.88 0.55/1.83 0.82/0.55 0.82/0.41 0.21/1.39 0.69/0.12 0.89/0.84 0.78/1.05 0.95/0.52 0.61/0.13 0.74/0.24 0.74/0.96 CanESM5 (90%) 0.53/0.99 0.65/2.07 0.88/0.65 0.88/0.47 0.32/1.89 0.74/0.14 0.93/1.03 0.86/1.39 0.96/0.62 0.66/0.14 0.75/0.24 0.76/1.05 CESM2 (10%) ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- CESM2 (Avg) ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- CESM2 (90%) ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.44/0.71 0.41/1.66 0.71/0.35 0.70/0.26 0.08/0.91 -0.45/0.11 0.87/0.57 -0.06/0.69 0.96/0.43 0.50/0.13 0.71/0.22 0.66/0.83 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.47/0.85 0.52/1.82 0.75/0.44 0.81/0.43 0.32/1.17 0.52/0.15 0.90/0.79 0.62/1.24 0.97/0.61 0.57/0.14 0.73/0.22 0.72/0.93 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.50/0.92 0.62/1.92 0.78/0.52 0.86/0.54 0.37/1.40 0.71/0.21 0.93/0.85 0.80/1.59 0.98/0.79 0.60/0.15 0.74/0.23 0.75/1.04 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.34/1.06 0.56/1.60 0.73/0.62 0.63/0.55 0.15/1.17 0.65/0.11 0.77/0.79 0.62/1.05 0.88/0.55 0.70/0.15 0.72/0.25 0.71/1.15 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.45/1.17 0.68/1.88 0.78/0.78 0.76/0.76 0.27/1.55 0.77/0.13 0.85/0.97 0.72/1.31 0.92/0.60 0.72/0.18 0.73/0.27 0.73/1.27 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.50/1.28 0.72/2.14 0.82/0.88 0.81/0.90 0.33/2.00 0.80/0.15 0.88/1.12 0.80/1.50 0.93/0.66 0.72/0.19 0.73/0.27 0.75/1.36 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.37/0.75 0.28/1.50 0.89/0.35 0.85/0.28 0.04/0.99 0.60/0.12 0.86/0.61 0.53/0.90 0.96/0.42 0.55/0.15 0.64/0.29 0.73/0.85 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.48/0.85 0.49/2.04 0.91/0.40 0.90/0.42 0.26/1.40 0.68/0.13 0.91/0.85 0.71/1.31 0.97/0.67 0.61/0.16 0.65/0.30 0.77/0.96 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.57/0.90 0.62/2.52 0.91/0.42 0.93/0.52 0.42/1.74 0.72/0.14 0.93/1.00 0.79/1.62 0.98/0.91 0.63/0.17 0.66/0.31 0.78/1.04 MIROC6 (10%) 0.43/0.85 0.68/1.52 0.72/0.61 0.61/0.56 0.07/1.03 0.77/0.11 0.81/0.63 0.83/0.61 0.96/0.32 0.67/0.13 0.79/0.20 0.76/1.00 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.52/1.00 0.76/1.72 0.76/0.75 0.72/0.84 0.22/1.45 0.79/0.14 0.89/0.83 0.88/0.71 0.97/0.40 0.70/0.16 0.80/0.20 0.79/1.17 MIROC6 (90%) 0.61/1.15 0.83/1.91 0.80/0.93 0.80/1.09 0.35/1.97 0.82/0.16 0.94/1.01 0.91/0.81 0.98/0.49 0.73/0.19 0.81/0.21 0.81/1.32