Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.45/0.66 0.44/1.49 0.74/0.57 0.61/0.41 0.11/0.99 0.66/0.10 0.87/0.55 0.83/0.60 0.94/0.42 0.59/0.12 0.73/0.24 0.74/0.88 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.51/0.79 0.62/1.81 0.82/0.66 0.73/0.50 0.27/1.30 0.75/0.11 0.92/0.74 0.88/0.82 0.95/0.51 0.63/0.12 0.74/0.25 0.77/0.95 CanESM5 (90%) 0.56/0.89 0.73/2.07 0.88/0.77 0.82/0.60 0.42/1.67 0.79/0.12 0.95/0.95 0.92/1.01 0.96/0.57 0.67/0.13 0.74/0.26 0.79/1.01 CESM2 (10%) 0.64/0.65 0.60/1.41 0.81/0.50 0.75/0.47 0.15/0.83 0.77/0.09 0.84/0.61 0.90/0.64 0.91/0.42 0.75/0.12 0.82/0.22 0.80/0.84 CESM2 (Avg) 0.69/0.76 0.74/1.75 0.84/0.65 0.78/0.65 0.37/1.06 0.83/0.11 0.91/0.90 0.94/0.77 0.94/0.55 0.78/0.14 0.82/0.24 0.82/0.96 CESM2 (90%) 0.73/0.86 0.82/2.04 0.86/0.79 0.81/0.82 0.54/1.32 0.88/0.13 0.96/1.12 0.96/0.91 0.97/0.65 0.80/0.15 0.83/0.26 0.85/1.04 CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.56/0.58 0.27/1.56 0.76/0.34 0.74/0.34 0.07/0.83 0.32/0.11 0.81/0.59 0.55/0.71 0.95/0.41 0.52/0.13 0.72/0.23 0.72/0.76 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.63/0.71 0.53/1.98 0.82/0.46 0.81/0.49 0.35/1.17 0.57/0.14 0.90/0.80 0.78/1.01 0.96/0.66 0.58/0.14 0.72/0.23 0.75/0.90 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.68/0.78 0.64/2.15 0.85/0.56 0.85/0.57 0.48/1.44 0.68/0.17 0.93/0.94 0.88/1.20 0.97/0.87 0.63/0.15 0.73/0.23 0.77/0.97 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.45/0.99 0.43/1.92 0.73/0.67 0.44/0.71 0.01/1.11 0.65/0.12 0.53/0.73 0.62/0.55 0.88/0.42 0.71/0.16 0.71/0.26 0.67/1.11 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.50/1.13 0.62/2.14 0.78/0.82 0.60/0.82 0.27/1.57 0.70/0.14 0.83/1.02 0.83/1.13 0.93/0.59 0.72/0.18 0.72/0.28 0.72/1.26 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.55/1.29 0.66/2.34 0.81/0.94 0.66/1.01 0.34/1.87 0.75/0.17 0.90/1.11 0.89/1.38 0.95/0.70 0.73/0.21 0.73/0.29 0.74/1.35 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.35/0.61 0.08/1.56 0.83/0.42 0.67/0.44 0.16/0.83 0.10/0.11 0.83/0.72 0.75/0.87 0.96/0.35 0.55/0.15 0.63/0.29 0.67/0.87 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.56/0.77 0.52/2.10 0.89/0.54 0.79/0.59 0.34/1.18 0.66/0.13 0.90/0.95 0.82/1.10 0.97/0.62 0.63/0.17 0.65/0.31 0.77/0.99 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.64/0.90 0.68/2.60 0.92/0.61 0.83/0.60 0.48/1.58 0.78/0.14 0.92/1.12 0.83/1.32 0.98/0.76 0.68/0.17 0.65/0.32 0.79/1.07 MIROC6 (10%) 0.62/0.78 0.75/1.36 0.79/0.66 0.70/0.52 0.16/0.96 0.81/0.11 0.71/0.65 0.81/0.60 0.95/0.33 0.71/0.14 0.78/0.21 0.79/0.94 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.67/0.90 0.80/1.63 0.82/0.77 0.77/0.71 0.32/1.33 0.83/0.14 0.84/0.87 0.88/0.75 0.97/0.40 0.73/0.17 0.79/0.21 0.81/1.07 MIROC6 (90%) 0.72/1.02 0.85/1.92 0.86/0.88 0.82/0.89 0.43/1.77 0.85/0.16 0.91/1.09 0.93/0.92 0.98/0.47 0.75/0.20 0.80/0.22 0.82/1.20