Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.36/0.76 0.41/1.71 0.71/0.57 0.47/0.50 0.07/1.01 0.64/0.10 0.81/0.63 0.77/0.79 0.94/0.41 0.59/0.12 0.72/0.25 0.70/0.94 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.45/0.87 0.61/2.02 0.80/0.65 0.65/0.62 0.28/1.40 0.73/0.11 0.88/0.88 0.83/0.96 0.95/0.49 0.63/0.12 0.73/0.26 0.74/1.02 CanESM5 (90%) 0.51/1.03 0.72/2.36 0.86/0.73 0.75/0.77 0.44/1.97 0.78/0.13 0.94/1.19 0.88/1.15 0.97/0.59 0.67/0.13 0.73/0.27 0.76/1.09 CESM2 (10%) 0.58/0.71 0.57/1.41 0.75/0.53 0.68/0.48 0.15/0.80 0.68/0.09 0.80/0.66 0.87/0.67 0.86/0.49 0.75/0.12 0.80/0.23 0.76/0.89 CESM2 (Avg) 0.63/0.83 0.74/1.82 0.81/0.66 0.74/0.65 0.42/1.09 0.80/0.12 0.89/0.98 0.91/0.84 0.92/0.59 0.77/0.14 0.81/0.26 0.80/0.99 CESM2 (90%) 0.69/0.94 0.85/2.19 0.85/0.76 0.78/0.81 0.57/1.49 0.85/0.14 0.93/1.20 0.94/1.01 0.95/0.76 0.79/0.16 0.82/0.27 0.82/1.04 CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.41/0.65 0.27/1.79 0.70/0.38 0.68/0.43 0.03/0.86 0.28/0.12 0.76/0.82 0.49/0.77 0.93/0.56 0.50/0.13 0.71/0.23 0.67/0.87 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.57/0.79 0.51/2.21 0.80/0.51 0.74/0.57 0.33/1.28 0.52/0.14 0.86/0.94 0.75/1.07 0.96/0.77 0.59/0.14 0.72/0.23 0.72/0.98 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.64/0.94 0.66/2.50 0.83/0.59 0.78/0.64 0.49/1.55 0.62/0.16 0.89/0.95 0.82/1.32 0.97/1.14 0.63/0.15 0.73/0.24 0.73/1.05 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.41/1.01 0.36/2.07 0.73/0.66 0.34/0.67 -0.08/1.31 0.61/0.12 0.56/0.71 0.60/0.68 0.89/0.50 0.73/0.16 0.69/0.27 0.67/1.17 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.47/1.19 0.60/2.32 0.77/0.85 0.53/0.81 0.17/1.90 0.68/0.15 0.82/1.07 0.81/1.17 0.93/0.60 0.74/0.18 0.71/0.28 0.71/1.31 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.51/1.30 0.67/2.48 0.82/1.03 0.62/1.00 0.36/2.98 0.71/0.19 0.90/1.30 0.90/1.49 0.96/0.70 0.76/0.21 0.72/0.30 0.72/1.44 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.29/0.70 -0.01/1.63 0.87/0.44 0.54/0.45 0.04/0.85 0.13/0.11 0.76/0.78 0.70/1.15 0.94/0.52 0.55/0.15 0.63/0.30 0.63/0.90 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.52/0.87 0.47/2.45 0.90/0.55 0.75/0.70 0.33/1.29 0.62/0.14 0.88/1.05 0.76/1.28 0.96/0.72 0.64/0.17 0.64/0.32 0.74/1.08 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.63/1.02 0.64/2.99 0.91/0.67 0.81/0.85 0.47/1.57 0.74/0.15 0.92/1.22 0.78/1.38 0.97/0.95 0.69/0.18 0.65/0.33 0.76/1.19 MIROC6 (10%) 0.58/0.81 0.72/1.43 0.74/0.65 0.60/0.47 0.04/1.01 0.77/0.12 0.63/0.71 0.81/0.65 0.95/0.34 0.70/0.15 0.77/0.21 0.76/0.98 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.63/0.98 0.79/1.76 0.81/0.80 0.72/0.68 0.31/1.50 0.79/0.15 0.81/0.96 0.87/0.78 0.96/0.42 0.73/0.18 0.78/0.22 0.78/1.12 MIROC6 (90%) 0.68/1.16 0.84/2.05 0.84/0.94 0.78/0.90 0.50/2.06 0.81/0.18 0.89/1.27 0.90/0.90 0.97/0.50 0.75/0.21 0.79/0.23 0.80/1.28