Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.40/0.75 0.38/1.44 0.68/0.45 0.69/0.30 0.05/1.07 0.67/0.10 0.84/0.64 0.80/0.55 0.92/0.52 0.53/0.13 0.74/0.22 0.72/0.98 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.53/0.87 0.55/1.74 0.80/0.57 0.81/0.39 0.19/1.61 0.74/0.11 0.89/0.82 0.88/0.84 0.93/0.62 0.58/0.14 0.75/0.23 0.75/1.09 CanESM5 (90%) 0.63/1.03 0.69/2.15 0.88/0.69 0.87/0.50 0.31/2.34 0.80/0.12 0.92/1.02 0.93/1.15 0.95/0.75 0.62/0.15 0.75/0.24 0.78/1.24 CESM2 (10%) 0.48/0.73 0.55/1.53 0.76/0.50 0.68/0.51 -0.02/1.08 0.78/0.10 0.83/0.73 0.84/0.63 0.84/0.57 0.66/0.13 0.81/0.20 0.74/1.10 CESM2 (Avg) 0.59/0.87 0.67/1.93 0.80/0.68 0.77/0.81 0.15/1.74 0.81/0.12 0.89/0.99 0.89/0.82 0.89/0.71 0.69/0.16 0.82/0.22 0.77/1.35 CESM2 (90%) 0.68/1.01 0.76/2.33 0.83/0.87 0.82/1.07 0.32/2.62 0.83/0.16 0.93/1.24 0.92/1.01 0.92/0.88 0.71/0.19 0.83/0.25 0.79/1.57 CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.37/0.72 0.33/1.27 0.74/0.33 0.76/0.33 0.07/0.83 0.47/0.12 0.89/0.60 -0.23/0.79 0.95/0.53 0.48/0.14 0.71/0.22 0.69/0.91 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.52/0.82 0.54/1.67 0.80/0.46 0.81/0.45 0.31/1.28 0.62/0.13 0.93/0.72 0.61/1.33 0.97/0.71 0.53/0.15 0.72/0.22 0.73/1.06 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.61/0.91 0.71/1.95 0.84/0.64 0.84/0.53 0.48/1.76 0.71/0.15 0.96/0.79 0.82/1.97 0.98/0.98 0.58/0.16 0.73/0.22 0.76/1.17 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.52/0.90 0.52/1.70 0.60/0.84 0.65/0.68 0.08/1.28 0.70/0.11 0.82/0.68 0.71/0.86 0.86/0.58 0.61/0.18 0.70/0.25 0.70/1.46 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.59/1.04 0.62/1.97 0.67/1.00 0.71/0.87 0.18/1.81 0.77/0.14 0.89/0.83 0.82/1.16 0.91/0.70 0.63/0.21 0.71/0.27 0.72/1.61 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.65/1.17 0.72/2.18 0.72/1.11 0.77/1.06 0.28/2.45 0.81/0.16 0.92/0.99 0.88/1.45 0.94/0.82 0.65/0.23 0.73/0.29 0.74/1.75 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.34/0.72 0.26/1.56 0.81/0.34 0.80/0.34 0.02/0.94 0.60/0.11 0.85/0.63 0.72/0.76 0.95/0.60 0.50/0.17 0.63/0.28 0.73/0.99 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.51/0.88 0.50/1.94 0.89/0.53 0.87/0.51 0.25/1.28 0.72/0.12 0.90/0.84 0.82/1.08 0.96/0.80 0.55/0.19 0.64/0.29 0.76/1.15 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.61/1.01 0.62/2.41 0.92/0.74 0.91/0.67 0.37/1.81 0.78/0.14 0.94/1.02 0.89/1.39 0.97/1.09 0.59/0.20 0.66/0.32 0.79/1.33 MIROC6 (10%) 0.47/0.82 0.63/1.47 0.73/0.64 0.62/0.63 0.01/1.16 0.78/0.13 0.83/0.56 0.77/0.62 0.92/0.39 0.63/0.15 0.79/0.19 0.74/1.23 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.57/1.02 0.73/1.86 0.78/0.80 0.72/0.92 0.15/1.77 0.80/0.15 0.90/0.74 0.86/0.79 0.95/0.53 0.66/0.18 0.80/0.20 0.77/1.46 MIROC6 (90%) 0.65/1.16 0.79/2.32 0.82/0.92 0.79/1.11 0.30/2.60 0.83/0.18 0.95/0.92 0.90/1.01 0.97/0.69 0.69/0.22 0.80/0.22 0.79/1.63