Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.51/0.65 0.63/1.17 0.82/0.36 0.65/0.27 0.15/0.85 0.75/0.09 0.90/0.56 0.85/0.58 0.93/0.52 0.61/0.14 0.75/0.22 0.78/0.85 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.60/0.75 0.74/1.35 0.87/0.43 0.79/0.39 0.34/1.10 0.79/0.10 0.92/0.69 0.89/0.82 0.95/0.61 0.65/0.15 0.76/0.23 0.80/0.91 CanESM5 (90%) 0.66/0.86 0.83/1.62 0.91/0.51 0.87/0.49 0.48/1.48 0.83/0.11 0.94/0.79 0.93/1.01 0.96/0.71 0.68/0.17 0.77/0.24 0.82/0.98 CESM2 (10%) 0.67/0.62 0.74/1.17 0.81/0.50 0.76/0.55 0.16/0.83 0.83/0.09 0.87/0.63 0.92/0.47 0.91/0.50 0.75/0.14 0.83/0.20 0.82/0.97 CESM2 (Avg) 0.72/0.71 0.82/1.42 0.85/0.64 0.80/0.74 0.36/1.18 0.85/0.11 0.91/0.85 0.95/0.67 0.93/0.60 0.76/0.16 0.84/0.21 0.84/1.13 CESM2 (90%) 0.78/0.80 0.88/1.67 0.88/0.77 0.83/0.90 0.51/1.65 0.87/0.14 0.95/1.05 0.96/0.88 0.95/0.69 0.78/0.19 0.85/0.22 0.85/1.29 CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.55/0.53 0.42/1.22 0.81/0.31 0.79/0.29 0.32/0.67 0.38/0.10 0.90/0.56 -0.06/0.68 0.97/0.50 0.59/0.13 0.72/0.22 0.75/0.80 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.65/0.62 0.64/1.47 0.84/0.42 0.82/0.39 0.51/0.81 0.66/0.12 0.93/0.67 0.66/1.23 0.98/0.67 0.62/0.14 0.73/0.22 0.78/0.89 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.73/0.68 0.76/1.78 0.86/0.51 0.84/0.54 0.60/1.05 0.75/0.13 0.95/0.78 0.86/1.71 0.98/0.85 0.66/0.15 0.74/0.22 0.81/1.02 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.60/0.86 0.59/1.57 0.73/0.78 0.56/0.71 0.12/0.85 0.75/0.11 0.85/0.71 0.77/0.88 0.92/0.49 0.69/0.18 0.71/0.25 0.74/1.26 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.63/0.97 0.69/1.79 0.77/0.88 0.65/0.81 0.36/1.23 0.80/0.13 0.89/0.82 0.83/1.14 0.94/0.58 0.70/0.20 0.73/0.27 0.76/1.39 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.66/1.09 0.76/2.05 0.79/0.97 0.70/0.93 0.52/1.66 0.83/0.15 0.92/0.94 0.89/1.31 0.95/0.67 0.71/0.22 0.74/0.29 0.78/1.49 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.52/0.57 0.55/1.19 0.90/0.31 0.77/0.36 0.24/0.71 0.73/0.10 0.87/0.63 0.76/0.80 0.98/0.57 0.62/0.16 0.65/0.29 0.80/0.87 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.66/0.68 0.69/1.50 0.93/0.44 0.85/0.49 0.47/0.88 0.78/0.11 0.92/0.77 0.83/1.06 0.98/0.76 0.65/0.17 0.66/0.30 0.82/0.96 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.72/0.82 0.79/1.72 0.95/0.60 0.91/0.60 0.60/1.24 0.81/0.12 0.94/0.88 0.88/1.30 0.98/0.95 0.67/0.18 0.67/0.31 0.84/1.09 MIROC6 (10%) 0.62/0.75 0.81/1.22 0.85/0.65 0.75/0.60 0.25/0.84 0.82/0.12 0.86/0.56 0.85/0.54 0.97/0.27 0.70/0.16 0.81/0.19 0.83/1.10 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.69/0.90 0.86/1.46 0.86/0.75 0.80/0.85 0.39/1.12 0.84/0.15 0.92/0.70 0.91/0.64 0.98/0.37 0.72/0.18 0.81/0.20 0.84/1.24 MIROC6 (90%) 0.73/1.02 0.89/1.76 0.88/0.87 0.83/1.02 0.50/1.39 0.85/0.18 0.96/0.86 0.93/0.75 0.99/0.45 0.74/0.21 0.82/0.21 0.86/1.38