Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.34/0.77 0.43/1.42 0.76/0.44 0.72/0.32 0.07/1.10 0.66/0.11 0.84/0.75 0.72/0.71 0.93/0.47 0.58/0.13 0.74/0.23 0.72/0.90 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.45/0.90 0.61/1.75 0.83/0.53 0.82/0.41 0.19/1.50 0.72/0.12 0.88/0.88 0.80/1.00 0.95/0.57 0.62/0.14 0.75/0.23 0.75/0.97 CanESM5 (90%) 0.54/1.06 0.73/2.15 0.89/0.59 0.88/0.49 0.30/2.01 0.76/0.13 0.91/1.03 0.88/1.28 0.96/0.68 0.65/0.15 0.76/0.24 0.77/1.06 CESM2 (10%) 0.47/0.73 0.62/1.44 0.69/0.55 0.68/0.53 -0.05/1.20 0.78/0.11 0.82/0.77 0.82/0.63 0.90/0.46 0.73/0.13 0.83/0.20 0.76/1.00 CESM2 (Avg) 0.58/0.88 0.73/1.77 0.75/0.70 0.76/0.76 0.17/1.62 0.81/0.12 0.88/1.00 0.88/0.86 0.93/0.58 0.75/0.15 0.84/0.21 0.78/1.16 CESM2 (90%) 0.67/1.02 0.81/2.13 0.79/0.88 0.83/0.98 0.36/2.07 0.84/0.15 0.92/1.26 0.93/1.17 0.95/0.67 0.77/0.18 0.84/0.23 0.80/1.33 CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.46/0.69 0.37/1.50 0.73/0.36 0.76/0.24 0.18/0.92 -0.15/0.12 0.88/0.63 0.22/0.81 0.96/0.48 0.55/0.13 0.72/0.22 0.68/0.85 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.54/0.78 0.58/1.74 0.76/0.48 0.82/0.39 0.32/1.17 0.54/0.15 0.92/0.76 0.56/1.36 0.97/0.72 0.60/0.14 0.73/0.22 0.73/0.94 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.66/0.89 0.70/1.98 0.79/0.57 0.88/0.51 0.44/1.53 0.71/0.20 0.94/0.88 0.79/1.90 0.98/0.94 0.65/0.15 0.74/0.23 0.76/1.04 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.39/0.99 0.62/1.58 0.73/0.70 0.68/0.56 -0.04/1.15 0.70/0.12 0.80/0.74 0.57/1.02 0.91/0.50 0.68/0.17 0.71/0.25 0.71/1.18 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.46/1.14 0.70/1.84 0.76/0.82 0.76/0.72 0.20/1.66 0.76/0.14 0.87/0.93 0.71/1.35 0.93/0.61 0.70/0.19 0.72/0.27 0.73/1.29 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.52/1.29 0.75/2.11 0.78/0.93 0.81/0.88 0.37/2.25 0.80/0.16 0.91/1.11 0.82/1.58 0.95/0.74 0.71/0.21 0.74/0.29 0.75/1.38 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.32/0.71 0.43/1.42 0.82/0.37 0.82/0.32 0.10/0.95 0.66/0.11 0.84/0.66 0.52/0.89 0.97/0.55 0.61/0.15 0.65/0.29 0.74/0.88 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.49/0.86 0.60/1.82 0.90/0.47 0.89/0.43 0.29/1.24 0.71/0.13 0.90/0.85 0.70/1.33 0.97/0.77 0.64/0.17 0.66/0.30 0.77/0.98 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.63/1.02 0.73/2.27 0.93/0.59 0.92/0.56 0.43/1.71 0.75/0.14 0.93/0.98 0.80/1.69 0.98/0.98 0.67/0.18 0.67/0.31 0.80/1.07 MIROC6 (10%) 0.43/0.90 0.69/1.42 0.75/0.62 0.62/0.56 0.10/1.21 0.78/0.13 0.78/0.60 0.86/0.58 0.96/0.32 0.68/0.14 0.80/0.19 0.77/0.99 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.53/1.05 0.77/1.76 0.78/0.77 0.74/0.87 0.22/1.51 0.80/0.16 0.89/0.82 0.89/0.72 0.97/0.43 0.71/0.17 0.81/0.20 0.79/1.22 MIROC6 (90%) 0.60/1.20 0.82/2.06 0.81/0.90 0.81/1.10 0.33/1.90 0.82/0.19 0.94/1.05 0.91/0.86 0.98/0.51 0.73/0.20 0.82/0.21 0.81/1.33