Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.42/0.73 0.53/1.29 0.72/0.48 0.52/0.38 -0.01/1.01 0.72/0.10 0.86/0.61 0.87/0.55 0.94/0.47 0.59/0.13 0.73/0.24 0.75/0.90 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.51/0.86 0.69/1.65 0.82/0.59 0.70/0.52 0.25/1.44 0.77/0.11 0.91/0.79 0.92/0.76 0.95/0.55 0.63/0.14 0.74/0.24 0.77/0.98 CanESM5 (90%) 0.57/1.00 0.79/2.15 0.88/0.70 0.83/0.63 0.44/2.04 0.81/0.12 0.94/1.00 0.95/0.96 0.96/0.65 0.67/0.15 0.75/0.25 0.80/1.08 CESM2 (10%) 0.62/0.64 0.64/1.40 0.77/0.52 0.72/0.46 0.02/1.07 0.80/0.10 0.86/0.66 0.90/0.53 0.90/0.47 0.76/0.13 0.82/0.20 0.80/0.92 CESM2 (Avg) 0.69/0.79 0.76/1.71 0.84/0.65 0.76/0.73 0.28/1.66 0.84/0.12 0.91/0.90 0.94/0.68 0.93/0.57 0.78/0.16 0.83/0.22 0.82/1.09 CESM2 (90%) 0.75/0.94 0.84/2.07 0.89/0.84 0.80/0.93 0.47/2.20 0.87/0.14 0.95/1.18 0.97/0.85 0.95/0.66 0.80/0.19 0.84/0.24 0.84/1.25 CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.51/0.62 0.39/1.41 0.78/0.30 0.77/0.29 0.13/0.91 0.48/0.12 0.82/0.68 -0.18/0.73 0.94/0.51 0.55/0.13 0.71/0.23 0.70/0.80 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.60/0.71 0.56/1.83 0.85/0.40 0.81/0.41 0.34/1.28 0.60/0.14 0.90/0.85 0.67/1.25 0.96/0.78 0.60/0.14 0.72/0.23 0.74/0.91 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.65/0.80 0.72/2.24 0.88/0.48 0.84/0.54 0.45/1.71 0.69/0.15 0.93/1.06 0.87/1.78 0.97/1.04 0.65/0.15 0.73/0.23 0.79/0.99 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.46/0.98 0.54/1.77 0.68/0.79 0.42/0.69 0.09/1.18 0.60/0.12 0.77/0.80 0.77/0.76 0.91/0.47 0.70/0.16 0.70/0.25 0.70/1.21 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.51/1.12 0.64/2.04 0.74/0.94 0.55/0.89 0.27/1.63 0.72/0.15 0.86/0.96 0.87/1.05 0.94/0.59 0.72/0.19 0.72/0.27 0.73/1.36 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.54/1.27 0.70/2.36 0.79/1.14 0.66/1.03 0.44/2.17 0.78/0.19 0.90/1.14 0.93/1.28 0.95/0.73 0.73/0.21 0.73/0.29 0.75/1.48 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.45/0.62 0.48/1.48 0.84/0.39 0.59/0.40 0.08/0.90 0.62/0.10 0.81/0.71 0.78/0.78 0.96/0.54 0.61/0.16 0.63/0.30 0.75/0.89 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.57/0.78 0.65/1.73 0.89/0.54 0.79/0.55 0.33/1.26 0.73/0.12 0.89/0.90 0.84/1.04 0.97/0.77 0.65/0.17 0.65/0.31 0.78/1.00 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.64/0.90 0.76/2.03 0.93/0.68 0.87/0.78 0.50/1.79 0.80/0.14 0.92/1.10 0.88/1.29 0.98/0.97 0.68/0.19 0.66/0.32 0.81/1.12 MIROC6 (10%) 0.61/0.85 0.77/1.42 0.75/0.65 0.73/0.54 0.05/1.13 0.80/0.12 0.78/0.61 0.79/0.66 0.95/0.34 0.71/0.15 0.79/0.20 0.79/1.03 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.67/0.98 0.83/1.66 0.85/0.79 0.79/0.80 0.30/1.50 0.83/0.16 0.86/0.83 0.87/0.81 0.97/0.44 0.73/0.19 0.80/0.21 0.81/1.18 MIROC6 (90%) 0.71/1.10 0.87/1.89 0.88/0.95 0.84/1.06 0.46/1.87 0.85/0.19 0.92/1.00 0.92/0.96 0.98/0.51 0.75/0.22 0.81/0.22 0.83/1.33