Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.34/0.77 0.51/1.35 0.65/0.49 0.19/0.53 -0.12/1.09 0.65/0.11 0.79/0.70 0.83/0.69 0.93/0.44 0.59/0.13 0.72/0.24 0.69/1.01 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.46/0.94 0.67/1.76 0.78/0.63 0.46/0.70 0.20/1.71 0.73/0.12 0.86/0.95 0.87/0.91 0.95/0.54 0.64/0.14 0.73/0.25 0.73/1.13 CanESM5 (90%) 0.54/1.13 0.77/2.20 0.86/0.80 0.67/0.88 0.45/2.53 0.78/0.13 0.91/1.19 0.91/1.17 0.96/0.67 0.68/0.16 0.74/0.26 0.76/1.27 CESM2 (10%) 0.54/0.74 0.62/1.47 0.78/0.52 0.65/0.52 -0.14/1.22 0.73/0.11 0.84/0.66 0.88/0.56 0.89/0.47 0.74/0.14 0.80/0.21 0.77/1.00 CESM2 (Avg) 0.63/0.89 0.74/1.84 0.86/0.69 0.72/0.75 0.26/1.91 0.80/0.13 0.90/0.95 0.93/0.77 0.94/0.56 0.76/0.17 0.82/0.23 0.80/1.20 CESM2 (90%) 0.71/1.03 0.83/2.33 0.90/0.87 0.78/0.98 0.49/2.72 0.84/0.16 0.93/1.23 0.96/0.95 0.96/0.66 0.79/0.21 0.82/0.25 0.83/1.40 CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.40/0.67 0.29/1.68 0.80/0.31 0.62/0.37 0.05/1.08 0.34/0.12 0.77/0.78 -0.24/0.78 0.93/0.63 0.54/0.13 0.69/0.23 0.64/0.93 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.50/0.82 0.50/2.02 0.86/0.42 0.74/0.50 0.28/1.55 0.52/0.15 0.85/0.97 0.62/1.33 0.95/0.85 0.61/0.14 0.71/0.23 0.71/1.03 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.59/0.97 0.65/2.39 0.90/0.56 0.80/0.60 0.43/2.20 0.66/0.17 0.90/1.13 0.82/1.72 0.96/1.05 0.66/0.15 0.72/0.24 0.75/1.13 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.47/0.99 0.52/1.77 0.65/0.82 0.13/0.76 -0.06/1.24 0.60/0.12 0.75/0.86 0.68/0.93 0.90/0.46 0.73/0.17 0.69/0.26 0.67/1.32 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.51/1.17 0.63/2.16 0.74/1.00 0.35/0.99 0.22/2.00 0.68/0.17 0.83/1.05 0.81/1.24 0.94/0.58 0.75/0.20 0.71/0.28 0.70/1.52 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.55/1.32 0.70/2.57 0.78/1.18 0.50/1.22 0.44/2.76 0.78/0.21 0.89/1.25 0.89/1.54 0.96/0.69 0.76/0.22 0.73/0.30 0.73/1.68 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.37/0.72 0.42/1.67 0.77/0.45 0.31/0.52 0.02/0.89 0.62/0.11 0.78/0.75 0.63/0.96 0.95/0.53 0.59/0.16 0.63/0.30 0.69/1.07 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.51/0.86 0.58/1.95 0.87/0.64 0.62/0.72 0.31/1.44 0.71/0.13 0.86/1.00 0.77/1.21 0.96/0.81 0.66/0.18 0.64/0.32 0.74/1.18 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.59/0.99 0.68/2.26 0.92/0.88 0.78/0.98 0.47/2.03 0.77/0.14 0.91/1.21 0.84/1.51 0.97/1.07 0.69/0.20 0.65/0.33 0.78/1.33 MIROC6 (10%) 0.53/0.95 0.75/1.55 0.79/0.73 0.57/0.55 -0.02/1.19 0.74/0.14 0.72/0.79 0.78/0.67 0.94/0.38 0.71/0.17 0.78/0.21 0.75/1.14 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.59/1.10 0.81/1.78 0.86/0.86 0.72/0.80 0.31/1.71 0.77/0.18 0.82/0.95 0.86/0.82 0.96/0.49 0.73/0.21 0.79/0.22 0.79/1.31 MIROC6 (90%) 0.65/1.25 0.85/2.04 0.89/1.00 0.81/1.02 0.50/2.11 0.80/0.22 0.87/1.15 0.92/0.97 0.97/0.61 0.75/0.24 0.79/0.23 0.81/1.46