Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.97/0.21 0.99/0.29 0.99/0.14 0.96/0.17 0.81/0.40 0.96/0.04 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 0.86/0.10 1.00/0.00 ----/0.29 CESM2-LENS 1011.001 0.78/0.51 0.81/1.12 0.85/0.55 0.78/0.43 0.51/0.70 0.89/0.09 0.92/0.73 0.96/0.47 0.90/0.72 0.76/0.16 0.86/0.19 0.85/0.93 CESM2-LENS 1031.002 0.76/0.73 0.84/1.64 0.89/0.61 0.75/0.76 0.52/0.62 0.87/0.09 0.92/0.90 0.97/0.60 0.92/0.65 0.78/0.17 0.85/0.20 0.86/1.13 CESM2-LENS 1051.003 0.80/0.61 0.86/1.17 0.84/0.71 0.78/0.68 0.38/0.77 0.89/0.12 0.87/1.03 0.96/0.76 0.92/0.70 0.77/0.19 0.85/0.21 0.85/1.19 CESM2-LENS 1071.004 0.71/0.70 0.73/1.51 0.82/0.61 0.75/0.62 0.44/0.77 0.89/0.08 0.91/0.95 0.93/0.95 0.93/0.61 0.77/0.16 0.86/0.19 0.83/1.11 CESM2-LENS 1091.005 0.67/0.71 0.73/1.69 0.85/0.60 0.79/0.55 0.39/0.68 0.88/0.08 0.88/0.99 0.95/0.83 0.92/0.61 0.76/0.15 0.86/0.19 0.83/1.08 CESM2-LENS 1111.006 0.76/0.71 0.80/1.42 0.86/0.71 0.75/0.72 0.13/1.83 0.86/0.11 0.95/0.63 0.96/0.51 0.89/0.76 0.74/0.18 0.86/0.20 0.83/1.34 CESM2-LENS 1131.007 0.79/0.62 0.81/1.33 0.86/0.59 0.74/0.77 0.62/0.67 0.90/0.09 0.93/0.83 0.95/0.61 0.91/0.63 0.78/0.17 0.85/0.20 0.86/1.09 CESM2-LENS 1151.008 0.75/0.60 0.80/1.38 0.88/0.58 0.77/0.62 0.48/0.70 0.89/0.09 0.91/0.74 0.96/0.83 0.89/0.72 0.78/0.16 0.86/0.19 0.85/1.06 CESM2-LENS 1171.009 0.71/0.75 0.80/1.40 0.84/0.70 0.79/0.85 0.56/0.63 0.86/0.11 0.96/0.69 0.94/0.54 0.92/0.76 0.73/0.17 0.86/0.20 0.85/1.20 CESM2-LENS 1191.010 0.76/0.70 0.83/1.39 0.87/0.68 0.77/0.73 0.51/0.90 0.87/0.10 0.91/0.73 0.95/0.58 0.88/0.75 0.78/0.18 0.85/0.21 0.84/1.19 CESM2-LENS 1231.011 0.73/0.75 0.85/1.36 0.84/0.87 0.75/0.97 0.32/0.96 0.84/0.13 0.93/0.74 0.91/0.71 0.89/0.72 0.73/0.20 0.85/0.24 0.82/1.42 CESM2-LENS 1231.012 0.76/0.66 0.84/1.35 0.87/0.73 0.74/0.76 0.43/0.91 0.88/0.10 0.97/0.45 0.97/0.54 0.87/0.80 0.76/0.17 0.85/0.21 0.86/1.20 CESM2-LENS 1231.013 0.71/0.71 0.79/1.47 0.89/0.56 0.79/0.57 0.49/0.93 0.89/0.09 0.92/0.91 0.97/0.59 0.93/0.64 0.77/0.17 0.86/0.19 0.86/1.08 CESM2-LENS 1231.014 0.70/0.71 0.82/1.30 0.84/0.58 0.76/0.68 0.37/1.01 0.87/0.10 0.92/0.84 0.96/0.73 0.90/0.70 0.77/0.17 0.86/0.20 0.83/1.14 CESM2-LENS 1231.015 0.71/0.69 0.83/1.22 0.84/0.56 0.74/0.69 0.13/1.05 0.88/0.09 0.95/0.64 0.96/0.50 0.90/0.75 0.75/0.16 0.86/0.19 0.83/1.10 CESM2-LENS 1231.016 0.77/0.60 0.84/1.19 0.85/0.55 0.78/0.65 0.56/0.75 0.89/0.09 0.92/0.70 0.97/0.38 0.92/0.71 0.77/0.17 0.86/0.20 0.86/1.02 CESM2-LENS 1231.017 0.79/0.62 0.83/1.52 0.88/0.55 0.81/0.68 0.56/0.62 0.88/0.12 0.90/0.96 0.96/0.65 0.89/0.80 0.76/0.18 0.86/0.21 0.85/1.09 CESM2-LENS 1231.018 0.72/0.69 0.83/1.38 0.89/0.61 0.79/0.54 0.49/0.69 0.88/0.08 0.89/1.14 0.96/0.66 0.92/0.67 0.78/0.17 0.85/0.21 0.85/1.07 CESM2-LENS 1231.019 0.75/0.71 0.83/1.42 0.84/0.71 0.75/0.71 0.33/1.17 0.88/0.09 0.91/0.89 0.95/0.71 0.92/0.68 0.75/0.18 0.85/0.22 0.83/1.25 CESM2-LENS 1231.020 0.68/0.87 0.78/1.77 0.85/0.74 0.75/0.82 0.44/1.21 0.89/0.12 0.91/0.85 0.95/0.68 0.89/0.75 0.76/0.19 0.85/0.22 0.83/1.37 CESM2-LENS 1251.011 0.71/0.70 0.84/1.46 0.87/0.64 0.78/0.71 0.34/1.08 0.88/0.09 0.92/0.78 0.92/0.81 0.90/0.67 0.76/0.16 0.85/0.21 0.83/1.20 CESM2-LENS 1251.012 0.76/0.67 0.81/1.54 0.87/0.64 0.71/0.78 0.53/0.79 0.88/0.12 0.90/0.91 0.96/0.76 0.91/0.66 0.76/0.17 0.86/0.20 0.85/1.20 CESM2-LENS 1251.013 0.80/0.56 0.83/1.11 0.86/0.54 0.82/0.56 0.39/0.95 0.86/0.10 0.97/0.52 0.97/0.59 0.91/0.69 0.76/0.17 0.86/0.20 0.86/1.01 CESM2-LENS 1251.014 0.79/0.69 0.84/1.36 0.83/0.80 0.76/0.81 0.65/0.68 0.89/0.09 0.94/0.65 0.96/0.53 0.91/0.70 0.75/0.19 0.85/0.22 0.86/1.23 CESM2-LENS 1251.015 0.73/0.62 0.79/1.28 0.85/0.61 0.76/0.61 0.61/0.60 0.88/0.09 0.88/0.83 0.96/0.56 0.90/0.70 0.75/0.16 0.85/0.21 0.84/1.04 CESM2-LENS 1251.016 0.74/0.63 0.70/1.58 0.88/0.58 0.77/0.66 0.46/0.82 0.88/0.09 0.92/0.88 0.95/0.70 0.92/0.60 0.78/0.16 0.85/0.21 0.84/1.09 CESM2-LENS 1251.017 0.79/0.61 0.90/1.04 0.87/0.65 0.80/0.61 0.53/0.78 0.88/0.11 0.94/0.82 0.96/0.56 0.89/0.74 0.76/0.17 0.86/0.21 0.86/1.10 CESM2-LENS 1251.018 0.77/0.60 0.80/1.43 0.85/0.67 0.72/0.75 0.44/0.81 0.87/0.09 0.94/0.76 0.94/0.71 0.92/0.66 0.75/0.15 0.85/0.20 0.84/1.16 CESM2-LENS 1251.019 0.65/0.83 0.78/1.55 0.86/0.62 0.78/0.75 0.37/0.84 0.88/0.11 0.96/0.63 0.96/0.50 0.92/0.70 0.74/0.18 0.85/0.22 0.85/1.17 CESM2-LENS 1251.020 0.73/0.73 0.74/1.67 0.85/0.69 0.76/0.72 0.48/1.02 0.89/0.09 0.91/1.02 0.92/0.85 0.89/0.71 0.78/0.17 0.85/0.21 0.83/1.26 CESM2-LENS 1281.011 0.76/0.68 0.83/1.44 0.84/0.76 0.77/0.81 0.39/0.85 0.88/0.11 0.87/1.04 0.95/0.81 0.91/0.63 0.77/0.17 0.85/0.21 0.83/1.28 CESM2-LENS 1281.012 0.70/0.66 0.81/1.42 0.87/0.67 0.80/0.59 0.59/0.65 0.90/0.09 0.94/0.77 0.92/0.84 0.88/0.76 0.77/0.16 0.85/0.21 0.84/1.11 CESM2-LENS 1281.013 0.74/0.66 0.83/1.27 0.83/0.78 0.76/0.81 0.35/1.02 0.87/0.10 0.93/1.03 0.93/0.84 0.89/0.75 0.76/0.19 0.84/0.23 0.83/1.32 CESM2-LENS 1281.014 0.72/0.72 0.86/1.38 0.84/0.75 0.80/0.74 0.42/0.86 0.84/0.13 0.95/0.79 0.95/0.56 0.89/0.75 0.74/0.18 0.85/0.22 0.84/1.25 CESM2-LENS 1281.015 0.74/0.65 0.79/1.41 0.86/0.55 0.76/0.83 0.42/0.81 0.86/0.10 0.94/0.67 0.97/0.45 0.90/0.71 0.75/0.16 0.86/0.19 0.85/1.10 CESM2-LENS 1281.016 0.73/0.61 0.78/1.49 0.87/0.68 0.75/0.62 0.55/0.86 0.89/0.09 0.88/1.03 0.96/0.70 0.91/0.64 0.77/0.16 0.86/0.20 0.84/1.15 CESM2-LENS 1281.017 0.69/0.70 0.80/1.33 0.86/0.61 0.79/0.80 0.45/0.82 0.89/0.10 0.92/0.83 0.95/0.60 0.91/0.71 0.76/0.18 0.85/0.21 0.84/1.16 CESM2-LENS 1281.018 0.69/0.69 0.83/1.19 0.85/0.56 0.79/0.78 0.36/0.96 0.87/0.08 0.93/0.62 0.96/0.49 0.90/0.71 0.74/0.17 0.86/0.20 0.84/1.11 CESM2-LENS 1281.019 0.71/0.68 0.83/1.14 0.90/0.55 0.76/0.77 0.46/0.73 0.90/0.09 0.90/1.01 0.94/0.75 0.93/0.56 0.77/0.16 0.86/0.20 0.85/1.09 CESM2-LENS 1281.020 0.71/0.74 0.73/1.79 0.86/0.74 0.76/0.78 0.67/0.57 0.87/0.12 0.92/0.95 0.96/0.64 0.91/0.67 0.77/0.18 0.84/0.23 0.84/1.25 CESM2-LENS 1301.011 0.76/0.61 0.86/1.07 0.87/0.70 0.78/0.72 0.38/1.27 0.88/0.10 0.93/0.75 0.96/0.64 0.92/0.68 0.76/0.18 0.85/0.21 0.85/1.23 CESM2-LENS 1301.012 0.74/0.57 0.79/1.20 0.86/0.51 0.77/0.51 0.53/0.77 0.87/0.08 0.93/0.66 0.97/0.38 0.91/0.71 0.77/0.15 0.86/0.19 0.85/0.93 CESM2-LENS 1301.013 0.77/0.56 0.84/1.13 0.90/0.58 0.80/0.65 0.36/1.23 0.86/0.11 0.90/0.79 0.98/0.47 0.89/0.68 0.75/0.17 0.86/0.19 0.85/1.12 CESM2-LENS 1301.014 0.74/0.69 0.89/1.22 0.86/0.70 0.75/0.69 0.51/0.89 0.90/0.08 0.90/0.87 0.95/0.60 0.93/0.63 0.76/0.16 0.85/0.21 0.85/1.17 CESM2-LENS 1301.015 0.73/0.71 0.79/1.79 0.81/0.88 0.72/0.79 0.41/0.87 0.88/0.11 0.92/0.97 0.92/0.95 0.89/0.70 0.76/0.19 0.86/0.22 0.82/1.39 CESM2-LENS 1301.016 0.76/0.64 0.85/1.36 0.84/0.70 0.76/0.77 0.39/0.92 0.88/0.11 0.93/0.72 0.97/0.57 0.91/0.65 0.76/0.17 0.85/0.21 0.85/1.20 CESM2-LENS 1301.017 0.74/0.63 0.82/1.29 0.85/0.79 0.76/0.71 0.43/0.85 0.88/0.09 0.95/0.82 0.96/0.58 0.92/0.62 0.76/0.18 0.85/0.21 0.85/1.22 CESM2-LENS 1301.018 0.80/0.54 0.79/1.20 0.86/0.62 0.76/0.63 0.27/0.99 0.87/0.09 0.95/0.64 0.94/0.68 0.90/0.70 0.75/0.17 0.85/0.20 0.84/1.10 CESM2-LENS 1301.019 0.77/0.58 0.81/1.23 0.89/0.54 0.73/0.65 0.27/1.09 0.89/0.09 0.93/0.77 0.97/0.60 0.91/0.63 0.78/0.15 0.86/0.19 0.85/1.07 CESM2-LENS 1301.020 0.69/0.60 0.66/1.46 0.90/0.43 0.81/0.54 0.23/1.04 0.88/0.08 0.93/0.76 0.93/0.64 0.93/0.58 0.75/0.15 0.86/0.19 0.83/0.98