Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2-CMIP6 (10%) 0.57/0.75 0.67/1.42 0.76/0.56 0.66/0.49 -0.17/1.29 0.70/0.12 0.85/0.68 0.90/0.56 0.91/0.43 0.75/0.12 0.90/0.25 0.80/0.67 CESM2-CMIP6 (Avg) 0.65/0.87 0.79/1.75 0.84/0.73 0.74/0.69 0.21/1.98 0.77/0.14 0.90/0.91 0.94/0.73 0.94/0.54 0.77/0.15 0.91/0.29 0.82/0.77 CESM2-CMIP6 (90%) 0.72/0.98 0.86/2.19 0.89/0.92 0.81/0.96 0.53/2.76 0.82/0.17 0.93/1.17 0.96/0.90 0.96/0.63 0.79/0.19 0.92/0.33 0.84/0.88 CESM2-SMBB (10%) 0.58/0.72 0.59/1.48 0.72/0.56 0.68/0.40 -0.05/1.28 0.69/0.11 0.85/0.60 0.88/0.57 0.88/0.45 0.74/0.12 0.90/0.25 0.78/0.68 CESM2-SMBB (Avg) 0.64/0.85 0.75/1.86 0.83/0.69 0.76/0.66 0.25/1.82 0.78/0.14 0.91/0.90 0.93/0.74 0.93/0.56 0.77/0.15 0.91/0.29 0.81/0.75 CESM2-SMBB (90%) 0.69/0.98 0.84/2.20 0.89/0.82 0.81/0.96 0.46/2.51 0.83/0.17 0.94/1.23 0.96/0.95 0.95/0.66 0.78/0.19 0.92/0.33 0.84/0.83