Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 (10%) 0.47/0.66 0.54/1.43 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.05/4.09 -0.02/0.18 0.82/0.63 0.82/0.67 0.87/0.45 0.47/0.22 0.80/0.21 0.93/0.84 CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 (Avg) 0.57/0.81 0.71/2.00 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.01/6.14 -0.00/0.18 0.91/0.94 0.89/0.91 0.93/0.56 0.47/0.22 0.81/0.21 0.94/1.04 CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 (90%) 0.64/0.93 0.77/2.29 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/9.16 0.01/0.18 0.93/1.17 0.92/1.04 0.95/0.66 0.47/0.22 0.81/0.21 0.94/1.30 CAM6_TOGA_LIMr67 (10%) 0.40/0.72 0.00/1.90 0.91/0.25 0.79/0.40 -0.03/3.60 -0.04/0.18 0.87/0.62 0.83/0.53 0.89/0.46 0.46/0.23 0.79/0.20 0.68/1.01 CAM6_TOGA_LIMr67 (Avg) 0.50/0.81 0.45/2.45 0.91/0.25 0.79/0.40 0.02/6.09 -0.00/0.18 0.90/0.88 0.89/0.88 0.92/0.57 0.46/0.23 0.79/0.20 0.71/1.21 CAM6_TOGA_LIMr67 (90%) 0.56/0.98 0.54/2.59 0.91/0.25 0.79/0.40 0.06/8.97 0.01/0.18 0.93/1.05 0.94/1.15 0.95/0.66 0.46/0.23 0.80/0.21 0.74/1.45 CAM6_TOGA_LIMr60 (10%) 0.40/0.63 0.25/2.02 0.62/0.44 0.79/0.31 -0.01/2.86 -0.03/0.18 0.85/0.80 0.67/0.74 0.79/0.34 0.49/0.22 0.80/0.19 0.64/0.97 CAM6_TOGA_LIMr60 (Avg) 0.58/0.74 0.49/2.37 0.62/0.44 0.79/0.31 0.02/4.53 -0.01/0.18 0.90/0.96 0.85/1.04 0.92/0.55 0.49/0.22 0.81/0.20 0.67/1.11 CAM6_TOGA_LIMr60 (90%) 0.63/0.79 0.56/2.66 0.62/0.44 0.79/0.31 0.04/5.32 0.01/0.18 0.92/1.05 0.90/1.37 0.95/0.70 0.49/0.22 0.82/0.20 0.70/1.17