Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CAM5_GOGA_ERSSTv4 #1 0.63/0.70 0.64/1.80 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.01/4.28 -0.00/0.16 0.89/0.92 0.87/0.86 0.94/0.54 0.93/0.05 0.75/0.22 0.85/0.94 CAM5_GOGA_ERSSTv4 #2 0.66/0.70 0.67/1.68 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.01/4.49 0.01/0.16 0.87/0.97 0.89/0.67 0.94/0.62 0.93/0.05 0.75/0.22 0.85/0.95 CAM5_GOGA_ERSSTv4 #3 0.72/0.66 0.80/1.39 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 -0.03/7.57 0.01/0.16 0.91/0.80 0.90/0.66 0.92/0.63 0.93/0.05 0.74/0.23 0.86/1.25 CAM5_GOGA_ERSSTv4 #4 0.72/0.69 0.61/1.91 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 -0.02/6.11 0.00/0.16 0.83/1.08 0.86/1.14 0.91/0.67 0.93/0.05 0.76/0.22 0.84/1.17 CAM5_GOGA_ERSSTv4 #5 0.63/0.71 0.61/1.80 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.01/6.33 0.01/0.16 0.89/0.83 0.93/0.50 0.89/0.71 0.93/0.05 0.75/0.22 0.85/1.13 CAM5_GOGA_ERSSTv4 #6 0.66/0.70 0.74/1.63 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 -0.04/5.84 0.02/0.16 0.87/1.01 0.93/0.89 0.89/0.71 0.93/0.05 0.75/0.22 0.85/1.11 CAM5_GOGA_ERSSTv4 #7 0.69/0.68 0.56/2.12 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 -0.03/7.20 0.02/0.16 0.91/0.78 0.93/0.75 0.94/0.55 0.93/0.05 0.74/0.23 0.86/1.24 CAM5_GOGA_ERSSTv4 #8 0.71/0.61 0.75/1.50 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 -0.04/5.87 0.03/0.16 0.80/1.22 0.88/1.02 0.91/0.62 0.93/0.05 0.75/0.23 0.85/1.12 CAM5_GOGA_ERSSTv4 #9 0.68/0.73 0.71/1.90 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.01/4.61 0.01/0.16 0.85/0.98 0.89/1.01 0.93/0.60 0.93/0.05 0.74/0.23 0.85/1.00 CAM5_GOGA_ERSSTv4 #10 0.72/0.66 0.83/1.44 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.00/7.36 -0.00/0.16 0.87/0.93 0.93/1.07 0.93/0.54 0.93/0.05 0.75/0.22 0.87/1.26 CAM6_GOGA_ERSSTv5 #1 0.71/0.68 0.74/1.70 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.01/4.03 0.01/0.16 0.92/0.85 0.90/0.75 0.94/0.55 0.99/0.02 0.82/0.20 0.96/0.82 CAM6_GOGA_ERSSTv5 #2 0.75/0.60 0.76/1.46 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.03/2.95 -0.00/0.16 0.90/1.29 0.89/1.14 0.91/0.69 0.99/0.02 0.82/0.20 0.96/0.75 CAM6_GOGA_ERSSTv5 #3 0.63/0.74 0.63/1.89 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.00/5.02 -0.00/0.16 0.92/0.72 0.93/0.61 0.93/0.57 0.99/0.02 0.82/0.20 0.96/0.92 CAM6_GOGA_ERSSTv5 #4 0.64/0.69 0.51/2.02 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.01/2.98 -0.01/0.16 0.91/0.99 0.92/0.87 0.92/0.62 0.99/0.02 0.81/0.21 0.96/0.75 CAM6_GOGA_ERSSTv5 #5 0.63/0.73 0.59/2.03 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.01/4.16 -0.02/0.16 0.92/0.68 0.92/0.65 0.95/0.46 0.99/0.02 0.82/0.20 0.96/0.83 CAM6_GOGA_ERSSTv5 #6 0.72/0.69 0.67/1.77 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.02/4.89 -0.03/0.16 0.95/0.62 0.86/0.75 0.91/0.64 0.99/0.02 0.82/0.20 0.96/0.91 CAM6_GOGA_ERSSTv5 #7 0.74/0.61 0.74/1.59 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/4.25 -0.01/0.16 0.92/0.97 0.89/0.79 0.90/0.66 0.99/0.02 0.82/0.20 0.96/0.85 CAM6_GOGA_ERSSTv5 #8 0.68/0.65 0.58/1.93 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/4.81 -0.02/0.16 0.96/0.88 0.86/0.98 0.93/0.59 0.99/0.02 0.82/0.20 0.96/0.93 CAM6_GOGA_ERSSTv5 #9 0.71/0.66 0.62/1.87 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.02/3.59 -0.01/0.16 0.92/0.95 0.82/1.07 0.93/0.59 0.99/0.02 0.82/0.20 0.96/0.81 CAM6_GOGA_ERSSTv5 #10 0.70/0.68 0.73/1.57 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.03/4.25 -0.00/0.16 0.90/1.06 0.91/1.08 0.93/0.59 0.99/0.02 0.82/0.20 0.96/0.87 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv4 #1 ----/---- ----/---- 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.02/8.52 0.00/0.16 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- 0.37/0.23 ----/---- ----/---- CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv4 #2 0.51/0.81 0.60/1.83 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.00/5.73 -0.00/0.16 0.93/0.79 0.87/0.88 0.94/0.54 0.37/0.23 0.74/0.23 0.81/1.15 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv4 #3 0.64/0.66 0.80/1.38 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.00/8.07 -0.00/0.16 0.91/0.76 0.90/0.84 0.93/0.64 0.37/0.23 0.75/0.22 0.83/1.35 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv4 #4 0.60/0.78 0.74/1.56 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.01/5.13 0.00/0.16 0.88/0.97 0.92/0.78 0.93/0.68 0.37/0.23 0.75/0.22 0.82/1.08 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv4 #5 0.67/0.67 0.82/1.35 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.04/5.63 0.02/0.16 0.91/0.74 0.92/0.72 0.96/0.43 0.37/0.23 0.75/0.22 0.85/1.08 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv4 #6 0.61/0.69 0.76/1.47 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.06/5.17 0.02/0.16 0.93/0.73 0.92/0.56 0.92/0.66 0.37/0.23 0.76/0.22 0.83/1.04 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv4 #7 0.55/0.78 0.67/1.73 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 -0.01/6.50 0.00/0.16 0.88/0.87 0.90/0.73 0.94/0.53 0.37/0.23 0.75/0.22 0.82/1.21 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv4 #8 0.55/0.77 0.72/1.57 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.01/4.50 0.02/0.16 0.79/1.08 0.87/0.77 0.92/0.62 0.37/0.23 0.75/0.22 0.80/1.02 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv4 #9 0.66/0.69 0.65/1.78 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.02/6.60 -0.01/0.16 0.86/0.96 0.88/0.81 0.93/0.61 0.37/0.23 0.74/0.23 0.81/1.23 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv4 #10 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- 0.87/1.15 0.83/1.43 0.92/0.61 ----/---- 0.75/0.22 ----/---- CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #1 0.41/0.98 0.65/1.74 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/40.08 ----/9969209968386869046778552952102584320.00 0.95/0.57 0.91/0.66 0.93/0.56 0.39/0.23 0.76/0.22 ----/5529059612980898918551735420655239168.00 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #2 0.41/0.98 0.65/1.74 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/40.08 ----/9969209968386869046778552952102584320.00 0.95/0.57 0.91/0.66 0.93/0.56 0.39/0.23 0.76/0.22 ----/5529059612980898918551735420655239168.00 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #3 0.41/0.98 0.65/1.74 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/40.08 ----/---- 0.95/0.57 0.91/0.66 0.93/0.56 0.39/0.23 0.76/0.22 ----/---- CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #4 0.41/0.98 0.65/1.74 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/40.08 ----/---- 0.95/0.57 0.91/0.66 0.93/0.56 0.39/0.23 0.76/0.22 ----/---- CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #5 0.41/0.98 0.65/1.74 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/40.08 ----/---- 0.95/0.57 0.91/0.66 0.93/0.56 0.39/0.23 0.76/0.22 ----/---- CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #6 0.41/0.98 0.65/1.74 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/40.08 ----/---- 0.95/0.57 0.91/0.66 0.93/0.56 0.39/0.23 0.76/0.22 ----/---- CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #7 0.41/0.98 0.65/1.74 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/40.08 ----/---- 0.95/0.57 0.91/0.66 0.93/0.56 0.39/0.23 0.76/0.22 ----/---- CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #8 0.41/0.98 0.65/1.74 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/40.08 ----/---- 0.95/0.57 0.91/0.66 0.93/0.56 0.39/0.23 0.76/0.22 ----/---- CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #9 0.41/0.98 0.65/1.74 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/40.08 ----/---- 0.95/0.57 0.91/0.66 0.93/0.56 0.39/0.23 0.76/0.22 ----/---- CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #10 0.41/0.98 0.65/1.74 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/40.08 ----/---- 0.95/0.57 0.91/0.66 0.93/0.56 0.39/0.23 0.76/0.22 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #1 0.64/0.65 0.50/2.06 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.02/4.10 ----/---- 0.92/0.78 0.84/0.82 0.93/0.57 0.39/0.23 0.81/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #2 0.58/0.79 0.59/2.03 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.00/5.25 ----/---- 0.88/0.94 0.90/0.89 0.92/0.65 0.39/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #3 0.57/0.81 0.49/2.33 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.04/6.63 ----/---- 0.92/0.79 0.94/0.59 0.93/0.58 0.39/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #4 0.55/0.79 0.71/1.64 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.03/5.02 ----/---- 0.88/1.00 0.91/0.94 0.93/0.61 0.39/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #5 0.67/0.62 0.66/1.69 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.06/4.64 ----/---- 0.86/1.00 0.85/0.82 0.94/0.54 0.39/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #6 0.58/0.73 0.60/1.86 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.02/3.86 ----/---- 0.89/0.87 0.85/0.96 0.92/0.62 0.39/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #7 0.67/0.64 0.58/1.87 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.01/3.70 ----/---- 0.90/0.93 0.86/0.83 0.94/0.58 0.39/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #8 0.51/0.79 0.41/2.26 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.02/6.77 ----/---- 0.91/0.71 0.89/0.62 0.93/0.57 0.39/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #9 0.63/0.66 0.73/1.53 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.05/5.07 ----/---- 0.85/0.90 0.92/0.67 0.93/0.58 0.39/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 #10 0.59/0.74 0.71/1.62 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/6.38 ----/---- 0.92/0.90 0.88/1.12 0.92/0.59 0.39/0.23 0.83/0.19 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr66i1p1 #1 0.69/0.68 0.57/1.92 0.87/0.28 0.85/0.24 -0.02/3.88 ----/---- 0.88/0.86 0.91/0.72 0.95/0.50 0.43/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr66i1p1 #2 0.63/0.74 0.73/1.59 0.87/0.28 0.85/0.24 0.01/3.25 ----/---- 0.93/0.66 0.90/0.74 0.93/0.57 0.43/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr66i1p1 #3 0.67/0.66 0.55/1.95 0.87/0.28 0.85/0.24 0.05/4.54 ----/---- 0.94/0.65 0.92/0.75 0.95/0.56 0.43/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr66i1p1 #4 0.54/0.80 0.63/1.84 0.87/0.28 0.85/0.24 0.04/5.31 ----/---- 0.90/0.92 0.89/0.95 0.94/0.55 0.43/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr66i1p1 #5 0.69/0.71 0.68/1.92 0.87/0.28 0.85/0.24 0.00/4.26 ----/---- 0.93/0.75 0.88/1.05 0.95/0.51 0.43/0.23 0.81/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr66i1p1 #6 0.73/0.62 0.72/1.59 0.87/0.28 0.85/0.24 0.03/4.01 ----/---- 0.94/0.72 0.89/0.71 0.92/0.62 0.43/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr66i1p1 #7 0.72/0.61 0.81/1.34 0.87/0.28 0.85/0.24 -0.01/3.35 ----/---- 0.91/0.90 0.93/0.69 0.95/0.48 0.43/0.23 0.83/0.19 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr66i1p1 #8 0.68/0.70 0.80/1.37 0.87/0.28 0.85/0.24 0.02/3.92 ----/---- 0.87/1.01 0.89/1.11 0.92/0.62 0.43/0.23 0.81/0.21 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr66i1p1 #9 0.58/0.77 0.67/1.71 0.87/0.28 0.85/0.24 -0.01/7.58 ----/---- 0.91/1.03 0.86/1.22 0.97/0.45 0.43/0.23 0.81/0.21 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr66i1p1 #10 0.72/0.62 0.67/1.70 0.87/0.28 0.85/0.24 0.02/4.15 ----/---- 0.92/0.77 0.92/0.71 0.90/0.67 0.43/0.23 0.81/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr94i1p1 #1 0.64/0.65 0.72/1.57 0.83/0.28 0.69/0.33 -0.04/2.55 ----/---- 0.90/0.80 0.87/0.71 0.95/0.51 0.43/0.23 0.82/0.19 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr94i1p1 #2 0.65/0.63 0.69/1.62 0.83/0.28 0.69/0.33 0.03/3.72 ----/---- 0.88/0.83 0.95/0.50 0.96/0.46 0.43/0.23 0.83/0.19 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr94i1p1 #3 0.55/0.79 0.75/1.50 0.83/0.28 0.69/0.33 0.05/3.68 ----/---- 0.95/0.62 0.91/0.66 0.93/0.59 0.43/0.23 0.81/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr94i1p1 #4 0.71/0.60 0.79/1.39 0.83/0.28 0.69/0.33 -0.02/4.33 ----/---- 0.91/0.98 0.87/0.93 0.92/0.60 0.43/0.23 0.82/0.19 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr94i1p1 #5 0.68/0.61 0.66/1.68 0.83/0.28 0.69/0.33 0.01/4.97 ----/---- 0.88/0.88 0.94/0.55 0.95/0.59 0.43/0.23 0.81/0.19 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr94i1p1 #6 0.65/0.64 0.58/1.86 0.83/0.28 0.69/0.33 -0.00/4.65 ----/---- 0.88/0.88 0.86/0.82 0.93/0.56 0.43/0.23 0.80/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr94i1p1 #7 0.56/0.71 0.68/1.64 0.83/0.28 0.69/0.33 0.02/3.14 ----/---- 0.89/0.85 0.88/0.82 0.94/0.58 0.43/0.23 0.81/0.19 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr94i1p1 #8 0.67/0.61 0.68/1.65 0.83/0.28 0.69/0.33 0.01/3.61 ----/---- 0.91/0.80 0.91/0.74 0.96/0.44 0.43/0.23 0.82/0.19 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr94i1p1 #9 0.64/0.72 0.74/1.61 0.83/0.28 0.69/0.33 0.03/4.98 ----/---- 0.92/0.89 0.88/0.89 0.95/0.50 0.43/0.23 0.81/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr94i1p1 #10 0.66/0.64 0.68/1.64 0.83/0.28 0.69/0.33 -0.00/4.40 ----/---- 0.92/0.79 0.94/0.64 0.93/0.57 0.43/0.23 0.82/0.19 ----/----