Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CAM5_GOGA_ERSSTv4 (10%) 0.63/0.61 0.56/1.39 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 -0.04/4.28 -0.00/0.16 0.80/0.78 0.86/0.50 0.89/0.54 0.93/0.05 0.74/0.22 0.84/0.94 CAM5_GOGA_ERSSTv4 (Avg) 0.68/0.69 0.70/1.72 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 -0.01/5.97 0.01/0.16 0.87/0.95 0.90/0.86 0.92/0.62 0.93/0.05 0.75/0.22 0.85/1.12 CAM5_GOGA_ERSSTv4 (90%) 0.72/0.71 0.80/1.91 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.01/7.36 0.02/0.16 0.91/1.08 0.93/1.07 0.94/0.71 0.93/0.05 0.75/0.23 0.86/1.25 CAM6_GOGA_ERSSTv5 (10%) 0.63/0.60 0.51/1.46 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.02/2.95 -0.03/0.16 0.90/0.62 0.82/0.61 0.90/0.46 0.99/0.02 0.81/0.20 0.96/0.75 CAM6_GOGA_ERSSTv5 (Avg) 0.69/0.67 0.66/1.78 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.00/4.09 -0.01/0.16 0.92/0.90 0.90/0.87 0.92/0.60 0.99/0.02 0.82/0.20 0.96/0.84 CAM6_GOGA_ERSSTv5 (90%) 0.74/0.73 0.74/2.02 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.03/4.89 -0.00/0.16 0.95/1.06 0.92/1.08 0.94/0.66 0.99/0.02 0.82/0.20 0.96/0.92 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv4 (10%) 0.51/0.66 0.60/1.35 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 -0.01/4.50 -0.01/0.16 0.79/0.73 0.83/0.56 0.92/0.43 0.37/0.23 0.74/0.22 0.80/1.02 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv4 (Avg) 0.60/0.73 0.73/1.58 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.02/6.21 0.01/0.16 0.89/0.89 0.89/0.84 0.93/0.59 0.37/0.23 0.75/0.22 0.82/1.14 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv4 (90%) 0.66/0.78 0.80/1.78 0.99/0.08 0.99/0.15 0.04/8.07 0.02/0.16 0.93/1.08 0.92/0.88 0.94/0.66 0.37/0.23 0.75/0.23 0.83/1.23 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv5 (10%) 0.41/0.98 0.65/1.74 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/40.08 ----/---- 0.95/0.57 0.91/0.66 0.93/0.56 0.39/0.23 0.76/0.22 ----/---- CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv5 (Avg) 0.41/0.98 0.65/1.74 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/40.08 ----/9969209968386869046778552952102584320.00 0.95/0.57 0.91/0.66 0.93/0.56 0.39/0.23 0.76/0.22 ----/5529059612980898918551735420655239168.00 CAM5_TOGA_ERSSTv5 (90%) 0.41/0.98 0.65/1.74 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/40.08 ----/---- 0.95/0.57 0.91/0.66 0.93/0.56 0.39/0.23 0.76/0.22 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 (10%) 0.51/0.62 0.41/1.53 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.06/3.70 ----/---- 0.85/0.71 0.84/0.59 0.92/0.54 0.39/0.23 0.81/0.19 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 (Avg) 0.60/0.72 0.61/1.89 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.02/5.14 ----/---- 0.90/0.88 0.89/0.83 0.93/0.59 0.39/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_ERSSTv5 (90%) 0.67/0.79 0.71/2.26 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/6.63 ----/---- 0.92/1.00 0.92/0.96 0.94/0.62 0.39/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr66i1p1 (10%) 0.54/0.61 0.55/1.34 0.87/0.28 0.85/0.24 -0.02/3.25 ----/---- 0.87/0.65 0.86/0.69 0.90/0.45 0.43/0.23 0.81/0.19 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr66i1p1 (Avg) 0.67/0.69 0.69/1.70 0.87/0.28 0.85/0.24 0.01/4.42 ----/---- 0.91/0.83 0.90/0.87 0.94/0.55 0.43/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr66i1p1 (90%) 0.72/0.77 0.80/1.92 0.87/0.28 0.85/0.24 0.04/5.31 ----/---- 0.94/1.01 0.92/1.11 0.95/0.62 0.43/0.23 0.82/0.21 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr94i1p1 (10%) 0.55/0.60 0.58/1.39 0.83/0.28 0.69/0.33 -0.04/2.55 ----/---- 0.88/0.62 0.86/0.50 0.92/0.44 0.43/0.23 0.80/0.19 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr94i1p1 (Avg) 0.64/0.66 0.70/1.62 0.83/0.28 0.69/0.33 0.01/4.00 ----/---- 0.91/0.83 0.90/0.72 0.94/0.54 0.43/0.23 0.82/0.19 ----/---- CAM6_TOGA_LIMr94i1p1 (90%) 0.68/0.72 0.75/1.68 0.83/0.28 0.69/0.33 0.03/4.97 ----/---- 0.92/0.89 0.94/0.89 0.96/0.59 0.43/0.23 0.82/0.20 ----/----