Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2-LENS (10%) 0.58/0.69 0.68/1.39 0.71/0.54 0.70/0.53 -0.20/1.24 0.71/0.12 0.85/0.72 0.87/0.59 0.91/0.45 0.74/0.13 0.81/0.21 0.78/0.66 CESM2-LENS (Avg) 0.66/0.86 0.80/1.72 0.81/0.72 0.75/0.71 0.19/1.88 0.78/0.14 0.90/0.92 0.92/0.79 0.94/0.55 0.76/0.16 0.82/0.23 0.80/0.76 CESM2-LENS (90%) 0.72/1.01 0.87/2.19 0.86/0.85 0.81/0.88 0.44/2.31 0.82/0.17 0.92/1.20 0.95/1.01 0.96/0.65 0.78/0.20 0.83/0.25 0.82/0.83 CESM2-CMIP5 (10%) 0.54/0.77 0.62/1.41 0.58/0.61 0.62/0.45 0.04/1.15 0.68/0.11 0.86/0.69 0.85/0.62 0.89/0.45 0.72/0.13 0.81/0.21 0.76/0.69 CESM2-CMIP5 (Avg) 0.63/0.88 0.75/1.77 0.75/0.76 0.71/0.64 0.38/1.65 0.81/0.13 0.92/0.84 0.91/0.80 0.94/0.60 0.76/0.15 0.82/0.21 0.80/0.73 CESM2-CMIP5 (90%) 0.66/0.99 0.82/2.00 0.80/0.84 0.75/0.75 0.51/1.95 0.84/0.13 0.94/0.91 0.94/0.92 0.95/0.71 0.79/0.18 0.82/0.22 0.82/0.76 CESM2-LENS_smbb (10%) 0.59/0.69 0.63/1.43 0.70/0.55 0.70/0.41 -0.02/1.26 0.69/0.11 0.82/0.56 0.86/0.60 0.89/0.47 0.74/0.12 0.81/0.20 0.76/0.62 CESM2-LENS_smbb (Avg) 0.65/0.82 0.76/1.78 0.79/0.69 0.76/0.65 0.28/1.76 0.78/0.14 0.90/0.91 0.91/0.78 0.93/0.56 0.76/0.15 0.82/0.23 0.80/0.73 CESM2-LENS_smbb (90%) 0.70/0.95 0.84/2.09 0.85/0.84 0.82/0.86 0.48/2.36 0.83/0.17 0.94/1.26 0.95/1.00 0.96/0.68 0.78/0.18 0.83/0.24 0.83/0.80